Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Colombia Property Pack
Yes, the analysis of Antioquia's property market is included in our pack
If you're thinking about buying a property in Antioquia in 2026, you're probably wondering whether now is actually a good time or if you should wait.
This article gives you up-to-date data on housing prices in Antioquia, market trends, and what signals suggest about where the market is heading.
We constantly update this blog post with the latest data, so you can make an informed decision.
And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Antioquia.
So, is now a good time?
Rather yes: January 2026 is a reasonable time to buy property in Antioquia if you focus on well-located, rentable properties and negotiate hard, especially on new builds.
The strongest signal supporting this is that rental demand in Medellin is the highest among Colombia's major cities, which means your purchase has real income support rather than just speculation.
Another strong signal is that new housing supply has been constrained since 2023, with launches and construction starts falling significantly, which reduces the risk of oversupply crashing prices.
Additionally, unemployment in Medellin metropolitan area was just 7.4% in late 2024, and Colombia's central bank is expected to gradually lower interest rates through 2026, which should improve mortgage affordability.
The best strategy in 2026 is to buy in prime Valle de Aburra neighborhoods like Laureles, El Poblado, Envigado, or Sabaneta near transit corridors, focus on units that work financially today with defensible rental yields of 5% to 7%, and negotiate discounts on developer projects where you have more leverage.
This is not financial or investment advice since we don't know your personal situation, budget, or goals, and you should always do your own research and consult professionals before making any property purchase.
Is it smart to buy now in Antioquia, or should I wait as of 2026?
Do real estate prices look too high in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, property prices in Antioquia look high relative to local purchasing power but not dangerously disconnected from fundamentals, mainly because strong rental demand and tight supply are providing genuine support rather than pure speculation.
One clear on-the-ground signal is that time-to-sell for quality used properties in Medellin remains historically low, which tells us that well-priced homes are still moving quickly and buyers are active despite affordability pressure.
Another telling sign is that gross rental yields in Valle de Aburra sit around 5% to 7% for typical apartments, which is workable for investors rather than bubble-territory, and suggests prices are not wildly out of line with what properties can actually earn.
You can also read our latest update regarding the housing prices in Antioquia.
Does a property price drop look likely in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the likelihood of a meaningful property price decline in Antioquia is low to medium, with a modest correction more plausible than a crash because supply has been constrained and rental demand remains structurally strong.
The plausible price change range for Antioquia's core market over the next 12 months is roughly negative 5% to positive 5% in nominal terms, with the downside scenario hitting mid-market apartments and newer peripheral projects hardest if rates stay elevated.
The single most important macro factor that could increase odds of a price drop in Antioquia is persistently high interest rates, since mortgage affordability directly affects how many local buyers can actually close on purchases.
However, Banco de la Republica is widely expected to begin lowering rates gradually through 2026 as inflation moves toward its 3% target, which means this risk factor is more likely to ease than intensify.
Finally, please note that we cover the price trends for next year in our pack about the property market in Antioquia.
Could property prices jump again in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the likelihood of a renewed broad-based price surge in Antioquia is medium, though selective price jumps in high-demand neighborhoods are more probable than a market-wide boom.
The plausible upside price range for Antioquia over the next 12 months is roughly 3% to 8% in nominal terms for prime locations, with the strongest appreciation likely in transit-connected corridors and rental-heavy neighborhoods where demand outpaces constrained supply.
The single biggest demand-side trigger that could drive prices to jump in Antioquia is meaningful rate cuts by Banco de la Republica, which would improve mortgage affordability and bring sidelined buyers back into the market.
Please also note that we regularly publish and update real estate price forecasts for Antioquia here.
Are we in a buyer or a seller market in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, Antioquia's property market leans buyer-friendly for new builds and developer projects, while quality resale properties in prime locations remain closer to balanced with good units still selling quickly.
The closest proxy to months-of-inventory in Antioquia suggests that unsold completed units have been building up in some segments, which typically gives buyers more room to negotiate, especially on terms, discounts, and extras with developers eager to move inventory.
While we don't have a precise figure for listings with price reductions in Antioquia, BBVA Research notes that sales recovery is not fully consolidated and commercialization speed varies significantly, suggesting that sellers in slower segments are more willing to negotiate than a year ago.
We have made this infographic to give you a quick and clear snapshot of the property market in Colombia. It highlights key facts like rental prices, yields, and property costs both in city centers and outside, so you can easily compare opportunities. We’ve done some research and also included useful insights about the country’s economy, like GDP, population, and interest rates, to help you understand the bigger picture.
Are homes overpriced, or fairly priced in Antioquia as of 2026?
Are homes overpriced versus rents or versus incomes in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, homes in Antioquia appear closer to fairly priced when compared to rents, with gross yields around 5% to 7% supporting purchase prices, but they look expensive when compared to local incomes due to the combination of high prices and still-restrictive borrowing costs.
The estimated price-to-rent ratio in Antioquia's core market translates to roughly 14 to 20 years of rent to recover a purchase price, which sits within the range considered acceptable for a growing city with strong rental demand rather than the stretched 25-plus years you'd see in an obvious bubble.
The price-to-income multiple in Antioquia is elevated because average household income (around 3.2 million pesos monthly for a family based on DANE data) requires significant financing to afford a typical apartment priced at 300 to 400 million pesos, and the 9.25% policy rate makes monthly payments burdensome.
Finally please note that you will have all the indicators you need in our property pack covering the real estate market in Antioquia.
Are home prices above the long-term average in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, property prices in Antioquia are above the long-term average, particularly in Medellin's prime neighborhoods, though this premium partly reflects structural factors like limited buildable land in the valley and strong amenity clustering rather than pure speculation.
The estimated 12-month price change in Antioquia has been modest at around 3% to 5% nominal growth, which is slower than the pre-pandemic pace of 9% to 15% annual increases in high-demand areas, suggesting the market has cooled from its peak momentum without collapsing.
When adjusted for inflation, real price positioning in Antioquia is roughly flat or slightly negative compared to the peak, since Colombia's inflation ran above 5% through much of 2024-2025, meaning buyers today are not paying dramatically more in purchasing-power terms than buyers at the last cycle peak.
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What local changes could move prices in Antioquia as of 2026?
Are big infrastructure projects coming to Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the Metro de la 80 project in Medellin is the single biggest infrastructure investment likely to impact property prices, with an estimated corridor effect that could boost values by 10% to 20% in neighborhoods directly served by the new 13.25-kilometer light rail line connecting Caribe to Aguacatala.
The Metro de la 80 timeline shows civil works actively progressing, with rail installation beginning in 2026, testing in 2027, and full operation expected in 2028, meaning buyers purchasing now along the western corridor have a realistic window to capture appreciation before the line opens.
For the latest updates on the local projects, you can read our property market analysis about Antioquia here.
Are zoning or building rules changing in Antioquia as of 2026?
The most important zoning change being discussed in Medellin is the medium-term revision of the Plan de Ordenamiento Territorial (POT), which completed an extensive public consultation phase in 2025 with over 5,700 participants and 3,179 community proposals, and is expected to be submitted to the city council in the first half of 2026.
As of early 2026, the net effect of likely POT changes on prices is uncertain but potentially significant for specific corridors, as the review addresses density, land use, housing, and urban expansion rules that could either unlock new supply in some areas or restrict development in others.
The areas most likely to be affected by POT rule changes in Antioquia are the western corridor touched by the Metro de la 80 influence, hillside neighborhoods where density discussions are active, and redevelopment pockets near major avenues where the city is debating urbanistic interventions.
Are foreign-buyer or mortgage rules changing in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, Colombia has no significant foreign-buyer restrictions in discussion, so the bigger factor affecting prices is the mortgage rate environment, which remains elevated at 9.25% policy rate but is expected to ease gradually through 2026 as inflation approaches the 3% target.
There are no foreign-buyer bans, quotas, or major tax changes being actively considered in Colombia, though international buyers should still verify current requirements with a lawyer or notary since banking access and currency exchange remain the practical friction points rather than legal restrictions.
The most likely mortgage rule factor to watch is simply the pace of rate cuts by Banco de la Republica, since each percentage point drop meaningfully improves monthly payment affordability for Colombian buyers, which indirectly affects demand and pricing even for cash buyers.
You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Colombia.
We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Colombia versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you’re planning to invest there.
Will it be easy to find tenants in Antioquia as of 2026?
Is the renter pool growing faster than new supply in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, renter demand appears to be growing faster than new rental supply in Antioquia's core metro area, since the number of renting households nationally now exceeds homeowners (7.3 million versus 7.1 million according to BBVA) while new construction launches fell sharply in 2023-2024.
The clearest demand signal in Antioquia is strong employment momentum in Medellin metropolitan area, where unemployment was just 7.4% in late 2024, combined with continued internal migration to Valle de Aburra from other Colombian regions seeking economic opportunity.
On the supply side, BBVA Research reports that launches and construction starts dropped significantly over the past two years, which means fewer new units are entering the pipeline and future rental supply will remain constrained, keeping pressure on rents and vacancy low.
Are days-on-market for rentals falling in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, days-on-market for rentals in Antioquia appears to be low by historical standards, with BBVA Research explicitly noting that time to rent used property is shorter than typical, indicating landlords are finding tenants quickly in the current market.
The difference in rental absorption between "best areas" and weaker locations in Antioquia is significant, with prime neighborhoods like El Poblado, Laureles, and Envigado filling units within days to weeks, while peripheral projects or poorly located units may sit for a month or longer.
One common reason days-on-market falls in Antioquia is the combination of constrained new supply and growing demand from young professionals, remote workers, and families priced out of homeownership by high rates, all competing for a limited pool of quality rental units.
Are vacancies dropping in the best areas of Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, vacancies in Antioquia's best-performing rental areas like El Poblado, Laureles-Estadio, central Envigado, and transit-connected parts of Sabaneta appear to be low and stable, consistent with strong rent levels and fast absorption times reported by sector analysts.
While official vacancy rates are not published for Medellin neighborhoods, the proxy indicators tell a clear story: Banco de la Republica found Medellin has the highest rent levels among major Colombian cities, which would not persist if vacancies were elevated.
One practical sign for landlords that the "best areas" are tightening first in Antioquia is when comparable units in the same building or block start commanding higher rents at renewal without tenant pushback, indicating demand is strong enough to absorb increases rather than trigger move-outs.
By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current rent levels in Antioquia.
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Am I buying into a tightening market in Antioquia as of 2026?
Is for-sale inventory shrinking in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, for-sale inventory dynamics in Antioquia are mixed: new project inventory has been managed downward through reduced launches, but unsold completed units have been building up in some segments, so it is hard to say inventory is uniformly shrinking.
The estimated months-of-supply equivalent in Antioquia varies significantly by segment, with quality resale units in prime areas moving quickly (closer to a tight market) while some newer peripheral projects and less desirable inventory sit longer (closer to balanced or buyer-leaning conditions).
The single most likely reason new supply is constrained in Antioquia is that developers sharply reduced launches in 2023-2024 in response to high financing costs and slower sales, which limits the pipeline of new units hitting the market over the next couple of years.
Are homes selling faster in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, homes are selling at varied speeds in Antioquia depending on type and location, with BBVA Research noting that time-to-sell for quality used properties is low by historical standards, while new projects show gradually improving but still uneven commercialization.
The year-over-year change in median days-on-market for Antioquia is difficult to pinpoint precisely, but sector reports suggest selling times for resale homes have tightened compared to the softer period of 2023, while new project absorption has improved modestly without returning to boom-era velocity.
Are new listings slowing down in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, we do not have a precise year-over-year figure for new for-sale listings in Antioquia, but BBVA Research indicates that used-home supply has reduced and the used market is tight, suggesting fewer owners are putting properties up for sale than in previous years.
The typical seasonal pattern for new listings in Antioquia shows more activity in the first months of the year and around mid-year, though the current level appears lower than normal given that many owners are staying put rather than selling into an uncertain market.
The most plausible reason new listings are slowing in Antioquia is that existing owners with favorable mortgage terms or fully paid properties see little incentive to sell and buy at today's elevated prices and rates, a pattern sometimes called "rate lock-in" that keeps inventory constrained.
Is new construction failing to keep up in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, new construction appears to be falling short of household demand in Antioquia, since BBVA Research reports that launches and initiations dropped sharply in 2023-2024 while renting households continue to grow and the housing deficit persists.
The estimated recent trend in construction activity shows permits and starts declining significantly from their 2022 peak, with BBVA noting that this adjustment was necessary to avoid excess inventory but means fewer units will be delivered over the next two to three years.
The single biggest bottleneck limiting new construction in Antioquia is financing costs for both developers and buyers, since high interest rates make it harder for builders to fund projects and harder for end-buyers to qualify for mortgages, which slows the entire pipeline.
We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Colombia compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.
Will it be easy to sell later in Antioquia as of 2026?
Is resale liquidity strong enough in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, resale liquidity in Antioquia's core Valle de Aburra market is reasonably strong for well-located, properly priced properties, with BBVA Research noting that time-to-sell used property is low by historical standards, meaning the right homes find buyers without prolonged waiting.
The estimated median days-on-market for resale homes in Antioquia's prime areas is likely in the 30 to 60 day range for quality units priced at market, which compares favorably to a "healthy liquidity" benchmark of under 90 days and suggests sellers can exit positions without excessive discounting.
The property characteristic that most improves resale liquidity specifically in Antioquia is location within established, transit-connected neighborhoods like Laureles, El Poblado, Envigado center, or near Metro stations, where persistent demand from both owner-occupiers and investors ensures a reliable buyer pool.
Is selling time getting longer in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, selling time in Antioquia is not meaningfully longer than last year for quality properties, though it may have increased slightly for overpriced units, luxury towers, or poorly located inventory that faces more buyer resistance in the current rate environment.
The estimated current median days-on-market in Antioquia likely ranges from 30 to 90 days depending on property type and pricing, with well-priced units in prime areas selling toward the lower end and challenged properties sitting toward the higher end or beyond.
One clear reason selling time can lengthen specifically in Antioquia is affordability pressure from high mortgage rates, which reduces the pool of qualified buyers and means properties priced above what the market can finance will simply sit until the seller adjusts expectations.
Is it realistic to exit with profit in Antioquia as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the likelihood of selling with a profit in Antioquia is medium if you buy smart and hold for an appropriate period, since modest appreciation of 3% to 7% annually is plausible but transaction costs eat into gains on short holds.
The estimated minimum holding period in Antioquia that most often makes exiting with profit realistic is around 3 to 5 years, which allows time for appreciation to cover transaction costs and for market conditions to potentially improve with rate cuts.
The estimated total round-trip cost drag in Antioquia (buying plus selling costs including notary fees, registration, agent commissions, and taxes) runs roughly 8% to 12% of the property value, or about 24 to 48 million pesos on a 400 million peso property (approximately 6,000 to 12,000 USD or 5,500 to 11,000 EUR at current rates).
The factor that most increases profit odds specifically in Antioquia is buying below market value through negotiation on developer projects or distressed resales, since entering at a discount effectively front-loads your gains and provides cushion against flat price performance.
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What sources have we used to write this blog article?
Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Antioquia, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can … and we don't throw out numbers at random.
We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.
| Source | Why it's authoritative | How we used it |
|---|---|---|
| Banco de la Republica - Monetary Policy Report | Colombia's central bank sets rates that directly affect mortgage costs. | We used it to anchor the interest rate backdrop as of the first half of 2026. We treated mortgage affordability as a key short-term driver for Antioquia prices. |
| Banco de la Republica - IPVU Index | Official central bank index tracking used-home prices with clear methodology. | We used it as the primary direction-of-travel signal for Medellin and Valle de Aburra. We triangulated it against private listing data to estimate current positioning. |
| DANE - GEIH Labor Survey | Colombia's national statistics office provides official employment and income data. | We used it to frame demand fundamentals like jobs, household formation, and affordability. We also referenced income data for price-to-income calculations. |
| Alcaldia de Medellin - Economic Observatory | Official city source summarizing labor market data for Medellin metropolitan area. | We used it to support why Antioquia demand is really Valle de Aburra demand. We referenced the low unemployment rate as a demand stabilizer. |
| Alcaldia de Medellin - POT Portal | Official home of Medellin's zoning and land-use planning documents. | We used it to track the POT revision timeline and assess zoning change risks. We flagged specific neighborhoods where rule changes could affect prices. |
| Metro de Medellin | The operating institution publishes official project updates and timelines. | We used it to verify Metro de la 80 progress and construction milestones. We treated major transit works as corridor-level demand boosters for the western sector. |
| BBVA Research - Real Estate Outlook Colombia 2025 | Major bank research unit citing official and sector datasets transparently. | We used it to synthesize supply, demand, sales, and inventory trends. We also relied on their rent and used-market insights as key cross-checks. |
| Camacol - Coordenada Urbana | Most-cited structured dataset for new-home sales and inventory in Colombia. | We used it via BBVA's cited data to judge if supply is shrinking and whether inventories are building. We treated these signals as leading indicators for price pressure. |
| Fedelonjas | National federation of real estate guilds with documented listing methodology. | We used it for grounded listing-based price and rent levels in Antioquia. We treated their data as "levels" while using other sources for "direction and speed." |
| World Bank - Colombia Overview | Top-tier international institution for macroeconomic baselines and growth forecasts. | We used it to frame whether a national macro shock is likely. We translated their outlook into downside risk probability for property buyers. |
| Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia | Regulator setting rate ceilings and credit condition frameworks. | We used it to explain why mortgage rates don't move freely in Colombia. We treated this as a short-run affordability lever affecting buyer demand. |
| Global Property Guide - Colombia | International property research platform aggregating official price data. | We used it to cross-check nationwide price trends and inflation-adjusted returns. We referenced their historical context for long-term price positioning. |
We created this infographic to give you a simple idea of how much it costs to buy property in different parts of Colombia. As you can see, it breaks down price ranges and property types for popular cities in the country. We hope this makes it easier to explore your options and understand the market.
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