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What are the price trends and forecasts in San José right now? (2026)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Costa Rica Property Pack

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Yes, the analysis of San José's property market is included in our pack

This article covers everything you need to know about property prices in San José, Costa Rica, from what homes cost right now to where prices are likely to be in 10 years.

We constantly update this blog post so you always get the freshest data on San José's residential property market.

All figures reflect early 2026 conditions, drawing on official Costa Rican sources, international institutions, and our own ongoing market analysis.

And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in San José.

What are the current property price trends in San José as of 2026?

What is the average house price in San José as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the estimated average house price in San José, Costa Rica is around US$240,000 (roughly 125 million Costa Rican colones, or about 230,000 euros), blended across apartments, condos, townhouses, and single-family homes.

On a per-square-meter basis, the typical price in San José in 2026 sits around US$1,850 per m² (approximately 960,000 colones or 1,770 euros per m²), though well-located condos tend to push higher than that number and houses on the urban fringe tend to sit below it.

When you look at where the bulk of actual transactions happen, the realistic price band for about 80% of residential property purchases in San José in 2026 falls between US$130,000 and US$400,000 (roughly 68 million to 208 million colones, or 124,000 to 382,000 euros), with the widest spread found between compact city-core condos and larger suburban family homes.

How much have property prices increased in San José over the past 12 months?

Over the 12 months leading into early 2026, residential property prices in San José, Costa Rica have risen by an estimated 6% on average across all common property types.

That said, price growth in San José in 2026 is not uniform: it ranges from roughly 4% to 9% depending on the district and property type, with newer, amenity-rich condos in prime locations sitting at the higher end and older housing stock on the outer edges of the metropolitan area growing more slowly.

The single biggest driver behind this price movement in San José over the past year has been the combination of stable mortgage availability and steady job creation in the services and advanced manufacturing sectors, which kept buyer demand ahead of new housing supply.

Sources and methodology: we triangulated asking-price data from Encuentra24 and Properstar across two time windows to build a year-on-year price-per-m² comparison. We then validated the result against the macroeconomic backdrop published by the Banco Central de Costa Rica and our own proprietary market tracking. Our own data and analyses add a further triangulation layer that helps us avoid relying on any single source.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in San José as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the three neighborhoods in San José with the fastest rising property prices are Rohrmoser (Mata Redonda), Escazú (San Rafael / Guachipelín), and Curridabat (Granadilla), all of which have seen noticeably higher price-per-m² growth than the city average.

In 2026, Rohrmoser is posting annual price growth in the range of 8% to 10%, Escazú is close behind at roughly 7% to 9%, and Curridabat is growing at around 7% to 8%, each outpacing the broader San José average of around 6%.

What these three neighborhoods share is the same core demand driver: buyers in San José in 2026 are prioritizing walkability, perceived security, proximity to jobs and services, and access to newer amenity-rich developments, all of which are most concentrated in these three pockets of the city.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in San José.

Sources and methodology: we cross-referenced high-volume listing data from Encuentra24 San José Capital and broader Encuentra24 San José filters to identify neighborhoods with the densest fresh listing turnover and upward price shifts. We validated the economic logic behind each area's growth with the monetary policy and growth outlook from Banco Central de Costa Rica, and supplemented that with our own neighborhood-level tracking. Ranges reflect asking-price bands adjusted for quality mix and negotiation discounts.

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Which property types are increasing faster in value in San José as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the ranking by appreciation speed in San José goes: condos and apartments first, townhouses second, single-family houses third, and small multifamily or duplex units last.

The top performer, well-located condos in San José, is posting annual value appreciation of around 7% to 10% in the most in-demand districts, driven by strong buyer competition for limited quality inventory near job centers.

The main reason condos are outperforming other property types in San José in 2026 is that the city's chronic traffic congestion makes buyers willing to pay a meaningful premium for "lock-and-leave" convenience, security, and walkable access to services, all of which newer condos deliver better than older housing formats.

Finally, if you're interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

Sources and methodology: we compared price-per-m² bands by property type within San José using Encuentra24 listings filtered by category, then cross-checked supply conditions using the residential construction starts indicator (IMIUR from BCCR) and mortgage financing context from the BCCR Monetary Policy Reports. Our own analysis layers in qualitative signals from active market participants to refine the ranking.

What is driving property prices up or down in San José as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the three biggest factors driving property prices in San José are mortgage affordability tied to interest rate direction, sustained job and income growth in services and technology sectors, and a persistent gap between housing demand and new construction supply.

Of these, interest rate conditions have the strongest upward pressure on San José property prices right now, because when borrowing costs stay contained, a larger pool of buyers can qualify for mortgages, which keeps competition for available properties elevated and pushes prices up.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about San José here.

Sources and methodology: we anchored our driver analysis in official data from the BCCR Monetary Policy Reports and the IMF 2025 Article IV Consultation for Costa Rica, which set out the growth, jobs, and rate environment clearly. We then interpreted those macro signals through listing-market behavior tracked via Encuentra24 and our own ongoing market data. Supply-side signals came from BCCR's IMIUR construction-starts indicator.

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What is the property price forecast for San José in 2026?

How much are property prices expected to increase in San José in 2026?

As of early 2026, the base-case forecast for residential property price growth in San José for calendar-year 2026 is approximately +5% across all common property types, blended.

Forecasts from different analysts and institutions point to a range of roughly +2% to +8% for San José in 2026, with the more optimistic scenarios assuming continued rate stability and the more cautious ones pricing in potential global headwinds affecting Costa Rica's export-linked economy.

The main assumption underlying most price increase forecasts for San José in 2026 is that the Banco Central de Costa Rica keeps monetary policy on a broadly supportive path, allowing mortgage lending to stay accessible for the middle-income buyers who make up the largest share of residential demand.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in San José.

Sources and methodology: we built our 2026 forecast by starting with macro growth expectations from the IMF DataMapper for Costa Rica and the OECD Economic Outlook 2025, then layered in supply tightness signals from the BCCR IMIUR index and construction cost data from INEC's construction price indices. Our own forward-looking analysis, which tracks listing velocity and price band movements, provided the final calibration.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in San José in 2026?

As of early 2026, the neighborhoods in San José expected to see the highest property price growth in 2026 are Curridabat (Granadilla / Pinares area), La Sabana / Rohrmoser, and Montes de Oca (San Pedro), each combining strong end-user demand with limited new supply.

In 2026, each of these leading neighborhoods is projected to grow at roughly 7% to 10%, with Curridabat likely at the top of that band thanks to its mix of family demand and newer mixed-use development nodes that are still attracting buyers.

The primary catalyst is the same across all three: these are areas where the underlying reasons people want to live, access to jobs, good schools, walkable services, and a sense of security, are getting stronger, not weaker, which means buyer demand keeps outrunning available inventory.

One neighborhood that could surprise with above-forecast growth in San José in 2026 is Barrio Escalante, where a rising "city living" premium and a wave of boutique condo conversions are drawing younger professional buyers willing to pay up for walkability and lifestyle.

By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in San José.

Sources and methodology: we identified top-growth neighborhoods for 2026 by combining listing liquidity signals from Encuentra24 San José Capital with the macro baseline from the BCCR Monetary Policy Reports. Areas were only included when price bands still looked financeable under current rate conditions, a filter grounded in credit data from SUGEF's financial indicators. Our own neighborhood-level price tracking helped refine the growth range estimates.

What property types will appreciate the most in San José in 2026?

As of early 2026, mid-market condos and apartments in prime but not ultra-premium locations are expected to appreciate the most among all residential property types in San José in 2026.

The projected appreciation for this top-performing type in San José in 2026 sits at around 7% to 10% in the best-located buildings, driven by a deep pool of mortgage-eligible buyers who can now comfortably service the monthly cost at current rates.

The main demand trend behind this outperformance is that San José buyers in 2026 are actively trading space for location: smaller, well-equipped condos near job and service centers consistently attract more buyers faster than larger, more remote options, which keeps competition for good condo inventory intense.

By contrast, small multifamily and duplex units are expected to underperform in San José in 2026, mainly because they depend heavily on rental yield math and their purchase price has risen faster than achievable rents in many districts, squeezing the case for buyers.

Sources and methodology: we ranked property types by likely 2026 appreciation using price-per-m² comparisons from Encuentra24 filtered by type, cross-checked against supply data from the BCCR IMIUR indicator and credit conditions from the BCCR Monetary Policy Reports. Our own property-type performance tracking adds a layer of real-market calibration to the estimates.

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How will interest rates affect property prices in San José in 2026?

As of early 2026, interest rate conditions in Costa Rica are broadly supportive for the property market in San José, with the current policy stance from the Banco Central de Costa Rica keeping mortgage financing accessible for a wide share of middle-income buyers.

The BCCR's benchmark Tasa de Política Monetaria (TPM) has been on a declining path, and mortgage rates in Costa Rica in early 2026 sit in the range of roughly 8% to 11% in colones for standard residential loans, with dollar-denominated loans somewhat lower, and the direction of travel is expected to remain either stable or slightly lower through the rest of 2026.

As a rule of thumb for San José's market, a 1-percentage-point drop in mortgage rates typically improves monthly payment affordability by around 5% to 7% for a typical loan size, which translates into measurable upward pressure on property prices as more buyers enter the market or can afford a higher-priced property.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Costa Rica.

Sources and methodology: we based the rate transmission mechanism on the BCCR Monetary Policy Reports and validated housing demand sensitivity against system-level credit data from SUGEF's financial indicators. The affordability impact estimate comes from standard mortgage math applied to typical San José loan sizes and income levels, combined with our own market affordability modeling.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in San José in 2026?

As of early 2026, the three biggest risks for San José property prices in 2026 are an unexpected rise in interest rates that cuts into mortgage affordability, a global economic slowdown that hits Costa Rica's export-dependent job market, and localized condo oversupply in specific corridors that could cap appreciation even if the broader city stays healthy.

Of these, the risk with the highest near-term probability of materializing is localized oversupply in specific condo corridors, particularly in areas where multiple towers have reached completion simultaneously, which can temporarily depress asking prices and transaction volumes in those micro-markets even when overall San José demand remains firm.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in San José.

Sources and methodology: we derived our risk ranking from downside scenarios in the IMF 2025 Article IV for Costa Rica and the OECD Economic Outlook 2025, then applied a housing-specific lens using supply signals from the BCCR IMIUR indicator. Our own analysis of pipeline projects and listing absorption rates informed the oversupply risk ranking.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in San José in 2026?

As of early 2026, it is generally a good time to buy a rental property in San José, particularly if you focus on tenant-proof locations and avoid overpaying for luxury-only rental premium in an already expensive micro-market.

The strongest argument in favor of buying a San José rental property now is that stable macro conditions, growing urban employment, and a deep pool of renters who cannot yet afford to buy all combine to support consistently low vacancy rates in well-located 1-to-2-bedroom condos near La Sabana, San Pedro, Escalante, and Curridabat.

The strongest argument for waiting, on the other hand, is that entry prices in prime San José districts have risen noticeably and gross rental yields in the most expensive pockets are now thin enough that a modest rate move or maintenance surprise could turn the investment math negative, so patience in finding the right deal at the right price-per-m² still matters a lot.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in San José (Costa Rica).

You'll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in San José.

Sources and methodology: we combined forward-looking macro stability data from the IMF DataMapper for Costa Rica with financing conditions from the BCCR Monetary Policy Reports and credit availability signals from SUGEF. Rental demand proxies were drawn from listing concentration patterns on Encuentra24 and supplemented by our own investor-focused market tracking.

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Where will property prices be in 5 years in San José?

What is the 5-year property price forecast for San José as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the blended 5-year forecast for residential property prices in San José points to a cumulative gain of around +25% from 2026 to 2031, which would take the typical home from today's average of roughly US$240,000 to approximately US$300,000.

The range of scenarios for San José's 5-year outlook runs from a conservative +15% in a prolonged high-rate or sluggish-growth environment to an optimistic +40% if economic conditions stay favorable and the urban densification trend accelerates.

The projected average annual appreciation rate over those 5 years in San José comes out at roughly 4.5% to 5% compounded, in line with what a growing, urbanizing Latin American economy with controlled inflation and stable institutions tends to produce for its major city's housing market.

Most forecasters anchoring 5-year projections for San José rely on the assumption that Costa Rica's service-sector and advanced-manufacturing export engine keeps creating enough middle-class jobs in the Greater Metropolitan Area to sustain household formation and real wage growth, both of which are necessary for the demand side of housing to remain robust.

Sources and methodology: we anchored the medium-term trajectory using IMF projections available via the IMF DataMapper for Costa Rica and cross-checked with the OECD Economic Outlook for Costa Rica. We then applied a housing-specific overlay using supply responsiveness signals from the BCCR IMIUR indicator and construction cost trends from INEC. Our own long-run San José scenario modeling provided the final range calibration.

Which areas in San José will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The three areas in San José expected to deliver the best residential price growth over the next 5 years are Curridabat (Granadilla / Pinares), Montes de Oca (San Pedro), and the La Sabana fringe neighborhoods that remain walkable but have not yet hit peak-tower pricing.

Over a 5-year horizon through 2031, these leading San José areas are projected to accumulate roughly 30% to 45% in total price growth, driven by compounding demand from families, professionals, and students who keep choosing these locations for their convenience and improving infrastructure.

Compared to the 1-year forecast where the same areas appear at the top, the 5-year picture is more consistent, because these neighborhoods have genuine structural advantages such as diversified demand, good transit access, and mixed-use development gravity that make them resilient across different economic conditions, not just favorable short-term ones.

The most undervalued area in San José today with the strongest 5-year upside potential is arguably select parts of Desamparados and Tibás, where improving service access and still-low entry prices create an asymmetric opportunity for buyers willing to invest ahead of the infrastructure curve.

Sources and methodology: we identified 5-year growth candidates by looking for neighborhoods combining stable rental demand with improving amenities and reasonable entry-price levels, cross-referencing listing data from Encuentra24 and price benchmarks from Properstar. The broader macro support for demand growth draws on IMF Costa Rica projections, and our own scenario analysis informed the undervalued area identification.

What property type will give the best return in San José over 5 years as of 2026?

As of early 2026, mid-market condos with 1 to 2 bedrooms in high-demand districts are the property type expected to give the best total return in San José over the next 5 years, combining solid price appreciation with strong, consistent rental income.

Over 5 years, a well-chosen mid-market condo in San José in a location like Rohrmoser, San Pedro, or Curridabat could realistically deliver a total return in the range of 40% to 55% when you add projected price appreciation of around 25% to 35% to annual gross rental yields of roughly 5% to 7%.

The main structural trend favoring this property type over 5 years in San José is the ongoing urban preference shift toward smaller, secure, and well-located homes as traffic congestion, two-income households, and safety concerns make the "condo lifestyle" not just convenient but genuinely preferable for a growing share of the population.

For buyers seeking the best balance between return and lower risk in San José over 5 years, townhouses in established gated communities in Curridabat or Santa Ana offer a compelling middle ground: they appeal to a stable pool of family renters and buyers, tend to hold their value across cycles, and avoid the extreme HOA cost dynamics of high-amenity towers.

Sources and methodology: we estimated 5-year total returns by combining projected appreciation from the IMF Costa Rica macro baseline with rental yield estimates derived from listing-depth analysis on Encuentra24. We cross-checked financing sensitivity using BCCR policy outlook data and applied our own risk-adjusted return modeling to arrive at the ranges above.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in San José over 5 years?

The three infrastructure developments with the most potential to lift property prices in San José over the next 5 years are road corridor upgrades that ease congestion on the main GAM axes, any meaningful progress on mass-transit or urban rail initiatives, and mixed-use urban regeneration projects that turn underused land into live-work nodes.

Historically in Costa Rica and comparable Latin American cities, properties within easy reach of a completed infrastructure upgrade tend to command a price premium of roughly 5% to 15% above otherwise comparable units that sit further from the improvement, with the premium materializing most strongly in the years immediately following completion rather than at announcement.

The neighborhoods in San José most likely to benefit from these infrastructure improvements over the next 5 years are Curridabat (better road access to the east corridor), La Sabana fringe (transit connectivity upgrades), and emerging nodes in Desamparados if planned access improvements follow through on current timelines.

Sources and methodology: we treat infrastructure as a conditional upside factor rather than a guaranteed price driver, anchoring our base forecast primarily in macro and supply fundamentals from the BCCR Economic Indicators and IMF Costa Rica data. Infrastructure premium estimates draw on comparable cases in the region tracked by Colliers Costa Rica research and our own analysis of listing behavior before and after past infrastructure completions in the GAM.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in San José in 5 years?

Costa Rica's urban population is expected to grow at roughly 1% to 1.5% per year through 2031, with the Greater San José metropolitan area absorbing a disproportionate share of that growth, which will translate into a steady upward floor on residential property demand, particularly for smaller units.

The demographic shift with the strongest influence on San José's property market over the next 5 years is the continued growth of smaller, younger households, including single-person and two-person urban households, which is structurally bullish for compact, well-located condos and apartments over larger suburban family homes.

In-migration patterns are also supportive for San José property values over 5 years: domestic migration from provincial areas toward GAM jobs remains consistent, and a growing presence of international remote workers, retirees, and professionals drawn by Costa Rica's quality of life and relative safety adds a supplementary demand layer that most other Central American cities lack.

The property types and areas that will benefit most from these demographic trends in San José are 1-to-2-bedroom condos in Rohrmoser, San Pedro, Escalante, and Curridabat, along with family townhouses in Curridabat and Santa Ana that appeal to the move-up households forming as incomes grow.

Sources and methodology: we grounded population and income growth assumptions in IMF Costa Rica macro projections and cross-checked with structural analysis from the IMF 2025 Article IV Consultation. Household size and formation trends draw on INEC demographic data, and our own analysis of listing absorption patterns by unit size and district provided the San José-specific calibration for this section.
infographics comparison property prices San José

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Costa Rica compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in San José?

What is the 10-year property price prediction for San José as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the 10-year outlook for residential property prices in San José points to a cumulative gain of around +60% from 2026 to 2036, which would bring the typical blended home price from today's roughly US$240,000 to approximately US$385,000.

The range of 10-year scenarios for San José is wide: a conservative case assuming multiple rate cycles and slower growth lands at around +35%, while an optimistic case with sustained macro tailwinds and continued urban densification could reach +90% or more in the best-performing districts.

Over that 10-year span, the projected average annual appreciation for San José property works out to roughly 4.5% to 5% compounded, which is consistent with the medium-term trajectory and reflects the expectation that boom and correction cycles will partially offset each other over a full decade.

The biggest uncertainty in making 10-year property price predictions for San José is the long-run trajectory of Costa Rica's export-linked economic model: if the country continues to attract high-value services and manufacturing investment, real wages and housing demand will compound strongly, but a shift in that investment flow would change the calculus materially.

Sources and methodology: for the 10-year forecast, we start from the long-range macro baseline implied by IMF DataMapper projections for Costa Rica and the structural analysis in the IMF 2025 Article IV Consultation. We apply a cyclical mean-reversion haircut to avoid straight-line extrapolation, and use BCCR supply-side indicators and INEC construction cost data as boundary conditions. Our own multi-cycle scenario modeling provides the conservative-to-optimistic range.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in San José?

The three long-term economic factors that will most shape San José property prices over the next decade are productivity and real income growth tied to Costa Rica's export-driven economy, the depth and accessibility of the mortgage lending system, and urban policy decisions around densification and infrastructure investment.

Of these, real income growth driven by continued high-value job creation in San José will have the most positive long-term impact on property values, because rising wages expand the pool of mortgage-eligible buyers and allow existing owners to trade up, both of which compound the city's price floor over time.

The single greatest structural risk to San José property values over a 10-year horizon is a deterioration in the country's fiscal position or credit standing that forces interest rates materially higher for a sustained period, because this would simultaneously reduce affordability for new buyers, raise mortgage costs for existing owners, and dampen investor appetite for the market.

You'll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in San José.

Sources and methodology: we drew on structural economic analysis from the IMF 2025 Article IV Consultation for Costa Rica and the OECD Economic Outlook for the income and fiscal factors. Credit depth and system stability assessments are grounded in SUGEF financial indicators, and our own long-run scenario analysis identified the risk and opportunity factors most specific to San José's real estate market.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about San José, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can ... and we don't throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source Why it's authoritative How we used it
Banco Central de Costa Rica (BCCR) - Economic Indicators Costa Rica's central bank publishes the country's official macroeconomic and financial time series. We used it to anchor the main demand drivers shaping housing affordability in San José. We also used it to keep our price timeline consistent with official Costa Rica data.
BCCR - Monetary Policy Reports (IPM) These are the central bank's flagship publications on inflation, growth, and the interest rate outlook for Costa Rica. We translated the macro picture from these reports into housing market impacts, particularly around borrowing costs and credit conditions. We also used them to frame our 2026 base-case forecast.
BCCR - IMIUR (Residential Construction Starts Index) This is an official BCCR indicator specifically designed to track new residential housing supply in Costa Rica. We used it to assess whether supply in the San José metropolitan area is tightening or easing. We then connected that to price pressure in our forecasts.
INEC - Construction and Social Housing Price Indices INEC is Costa Rica's national statistics institute, and its construction price indices are the official benchmark for build-input costs. We used it as a cost-floor indicator: when construction input prices rise, new-home pricing pressure typically follows. We also used it to explain why some segments cool even when demand stays firm.
IMF - Costa Rica DataMapper The IMF provides standardized, internationally comparable macro forecasts that are widely used by institutions and investors globally. We used it to set the 2026, 5-year, and 10-year growth and inflation scenarios underpinning our property price forecasts. We also used it to frame the medium-term trajectory affecting wages and housing demand.
IMF - Costa Rica 2025 Article IV Consultation Article IV consultations are in-depth, country-specific economic assessments by IMF staff with clearly stated assumptions and risk scenarios. We used it to cross-check the domestic macro story behind San José housing demand. We also used it to identify the downside risks that could weigh on property prices.
OECD - Economic Outlook (Costa Rica) As an OECD member, Costa Rica benefits from the organization's rigorous economic scenario work, which is a widely used benchmark for institutional forecasting. We used it to validate our base-case forecast for 2026 and sanity-check global headwinds and tailwinds affecting San José property. We also used it for our longer-horizon framing.
SUGEF - Financial Indicators SUGEF is Costa Rica's financial supervisor, and its data gives a regulatory-grade view of banking system conditions and credit availability. We used it to understand the mortgage lending environment in San José, including credit availability. We connected that to affordability and demand pressure in our analysis.
Encuentra24 - San José Listings One of the largest and most active property marketplaces in Costa Rica, with thousands of current residential listings across San José. We used it to approximate current asking-price bands by property type and district in Greater San José. We then discounted for negotiation and quality mix to estimate plausible transaction levels.
Properstar - San José Province Price Stats Properstar derives its figures from listing databases and makes its methodology directionally transparent, which gives it credibility as a cross-check source. We used it as an independent listing-based benchmark for median prices, reducing our reliance on any single data source. We reconciled it with Encuentra24 by working with price ranges rather than single point values.
Colliers Costa Rica - Market Research Colliers is an established global real estate services firm that publishes regular research for the Central American and Caribbean region. We used it as a private-sector cross-check on market direction and investor sentiment in San José. We treated it as triangulation against official macro data rather than as a standalone source.

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