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What are the long-term predictions for house prices in Santa Marta?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Colombia Property Pack

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Santa Marta's real estate market has experienced remarkable growth in recent years, positioning itself as one of Colombia's most promising coastal property destinations.

With house prices rising 59% from 2022 to mid-2025 and beachfront apartments now priced at $1,800-$2,000 per square meter, investors are questioning whether this trend will continue long-term.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Colombia, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At The LatinVestor, we explore the Colombian real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Santa Marta, Cartagena, and Medellín. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What have house prices in Santa Marta done over the past 10, 20, and 30 years?

Santa Marta's property market has experienced dramatic transformation over the past three decades, evolving from a low-priced coastal destination to one of Colombia's premier real estate markets.

Over the last 10 years, house prices in Santa Marta have risen sharply, with the most remarkable growth occurring from 2022 to mid-2025, showing a 59% increase during this period. This explosive growth was driven by increased tourism, improved infrastructure development, and growing international investment interest in Colombian coastal properties.

Looking at the 20-30 year period, Santa Marta's property market underwent a fundamental transition starting in the 2000s and accelerating through the 2010s. This transformation coincided with Colombia's broader peace process and economic expansion, which opened new opportunities for both domestic and international investors. While specific yearly data for earlier decades is limited, the market clearly shifted from being an overlooked coastal town to an established tourist and investment destination.

The most significant price appreciation has occurred in the last decade, particularly accelerating after 2020 when remote work trends and lifestyle changes drove increased demand for coastal properties.

As of September 2025, this growth trajectory positions Santa Marta as one of the fastest-appreciating property markets along Colombia's Caribbean coast.

What is the current average price per square meter in Santa Marta and how has it changed year-on-year?

As of September 2025, Santa Marta's property market shows distinct pricing tiers based on location and property type, with beachfront areas commanding premium prices.

Beachfront apartments currently average $1,800-$2,000 per square meter (approximately 8.7 million COP), representing the highest-value segment of the market. City center apartments are priced more moderately at $1,200-$1,500 per square meter, while houses typically cost 20-30% less per square meter than condominiums, especially outside tourist-focused areas.

Year-on-year price changes show the market is moderating from its explosive growth period. In 2024, prices increased approximately 3.5%, a significant cooling from the 15-20% annual growth rates experienced in 2022-2023. This moderation reflects a more sustainable growth pattern as the market matures and absorbs the rapid gains of previous years.

Rental yields remain attractive across the market, ranging from 6.2-8.1% for beachfront properties, with the citywide average falling between 5-8%. These yields are particularly strong for vacation rental properties and short-term accommodations targeting the growing tourism market.

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How do property price trends in Santa Marta compare to other similar coastal cities in Colombia?

Santa Marta's property market positioning among Colombian coastal cities reveals interesting competitive dynamics and value propositions for investors.

City Average Price/m² (USD) Rental Yield (%) Market Position
Santa Marta $1,800-$2,000 6.2-8.1 Premium beachfront destination
Cartagena $800-$1,200 5.9-6.8 Established tourist market
Barranquilla $700-$1,000 6.4-7.8 Industrial and commercial hub
Buenaventura $500-$700 7.2-9.1 Emerging port city
Riohacha $400-$600 8.5-10.2 Developing coastal market

Santa Marta commands significantly higher prices than Cartagena, despite Cartagena's longer-established tourism infrastructure and UNESCO World Heritage status. This price premium reflects Santa Marta's positioning as a more exclusive destination with better beach access and newer development projects.

Compared to Barranquilla, Colombia's fourth-largest city and major industrial center, Santa Marta's prices are nearly double, indicating strong demand for leisure and lifestyle properties over industrial locations. The rental yield comparison shows Santa Marta offers competitive returns while maintaining higher absolute property values.

What are the projected annual growth rates for house prices in Santa Marta over the next 5, 10, and 20 years?

Santa Marta's property market projections show a gradual moderation from recent explosive growth rates toward more sustainable long-term appreciation patterns.

For the next 5 years (2025-2030), projected annual growth rates range from 5-9% annually, particularly for prime beachfront and urban areas. This represents a cooling from the 15-20% growth experienced in 2022-2023, but still indicates robust appreciation driven by ongoing tourism development and infrastructure improvements.

The 10-year outlook (2025-2035) projects annual growth rates of 4-8%, assuming continued tourism expansion and infrastructure development. This projection accounts for market maturation and the natural slowing that occurs as property values reach higher absolute levels.

Long-term projections for the next 20 years (2025-2045) estimate annual growth rates of 3-6%, provided Colombia maintains political stability, tourism continues growing, and climate risks are effectively managed. This range reflects the expectation that Santa Marta's market will transition from a high-growth emerging destination to a mature, established market.

These projections assume continued favorable conditions including political stability, sustained tourism growth, infrastructure development completion, and effective management of climate change impacts.

How is local population growth expected to impact housing demand in Santa Marta?

Santa Marta's demographic trends point toward sustained housing demand growth, driven by both natural population increase and migration patterns that favor coastal lifestyle destinations.

As of 2024, Santa Marta's urban population reached 551,773, showing steady annual growth that creates consistent baseline demand for housing. This population growth includes young professionals, remote workers, and retirees choosing Santa Marta for its coastal lifestyle and improving digital infrastructure.

The demographic composition is particularly favorable for real estate demand, with increasing numbers of middle-class professionals who can afford property purchases and quality rental accommodations. The growing presence of remote workers and digital nomads has created additional demand for both short-term and medium-term housing options.

Population growth directly translates to housing pressure, bolstering both property prices and rental yields. The combination of local population growth with seasonal and temporary residents from tourism creates multi-layered demand that supports market stability.

Migration patterns show Santa Marta attracting residents from other Colombian cities seeking better quality of life, lower costs compared to Bogotá or Medellín, and coastal amenities. This internal migration supplements natural population growth and strengthens housing demand fundamentals.

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What large infrastructure or development projects are planned in Santa Marta that could affect property values?

Santa Marta's infrastructure development pipeline includes several major projects that are expected to significantly boost property values and market accessibility over the coming decade.

Transportation infrastructure improvements include highway upgrades, new bridges, and expanded public transport systems that will improve connectivity between Santa Marta and other major Colombian cities. Airport improvements are also planned to handle increased tourist traffic and provide better international connectivity.

Tourism-related infrastructure projects represent the largest category of planned developments. These include cruise port expansions to accommodate larger vessels, large marina developments for yacht tourism, new hotel complexes, and the ambitious Agora Caribe business and cultural hub that will serve as a regional conference and entertainment center.

Utility and sustainability projects focus on upgrading electrical grids, water systems, and waste management to support growing population and tourism demands. Many new developments emphasize eco-friendly construction and energy-efficient buildings, aligning with growing environmental consciousness among buyers.

These infrastructure projects are expected to increase Santa Marta's accessibility, attract more tourists and investors, and raise property values through improved livability and economic opportunities. The timeline for most projects extends through 2030, providing sustained positive momentum for the real estate market.

It's something we develop in our Colombia property pack.

What are the expected trends in foreign investment in Santa Marta's real estate market?

Foreign investment in Santa Marta's real estate market is experiencing significant growth, driven by favorable regulatory conditions and Colombia's increasing appeal to international buyers.

Colombia maintains no restrictions on foreign property ownership, creating an attractive environment for international investors. This policy advantage, combined with favorable peso exchange rates, has made Colombian real estate particularly appealing to buyers from North America and Europe.

The "digital nomad" trend has emerged as a major driver of foreign investment, with remote workers seeking lifestyle destinations that offer good internet infrastructure, lower living costs, and attractive climates. Santa Marta's improving digital infrastructure and coastal amenities position it well to capture this market segment.

International real estate agencies and investment firms are increasingly entering the Santa Marta market, providing more sophisticated services and marketing to foreign buyers. This increased professional infrastructure makes property transactions easier for international investors.

However, foreign investment trends remain subject to several variables including global economic conditions, Colombian political stability, currency exchange rates, and potential regulatory changes. While current trends are positive, investors should monitor these factors that could influence future foreign investment flows.

How are rental yields in Santa Marta trending, and what do they suggest about long-term price growth?

Rental yields in Santa Marta remain robust across multiple property types, with particularly strong performance in vacation rental and short-term accommodation segments.

Current rental yields range from 6-8% for typical residential properties, with beachfront properties achieving 6.2-8.1% yields. Vacation rental properties and Airbnb accommodations often exceed these ranges due to Santa Marta's growing tourism market.

Rental demand is projected to grow 8% in 2025, driven by increasing tourism, remote worker migration, and expanding eco-tourism sectors. This demand growth supports both current yield levels and expectations for future rental income increases.

The strength of rental yields suggests several positive indicators for long-term price growth. Strong rental demand provides income support for property investors, making higher purchase prices justifiable. The vacation rental market's robust performance indicates sustained tourism growth, which typically correlates with property value appreciation.

Income investors remain active in the market due to attractive yields, providing price support and liquidity. The combination of strong yields and price appreciation creates compelling total returns that attract continued investment capital to the market.

infographics rental yields citiesSanta Marta

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Colombia versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

What is the outlook for interest rates and mortgage availability in Colombia over the next decade?

Colombia's mortgage market presents both opportunities and challenges for property buyers, with interest rates remaining relatively high compared to developed economies but showing potential for gradual improvement.

Current fixed-rate mortgage rates range from approximately 8.6-16.8% per annum, significantly higher than rates in the United States or European Union. These elevated rates reflect Colombia's emerging market status, inflation history, and central bank monetary policy.

The long-term outlook suggests interest rates may gradually decrease as Colombia's economy continues stabilizing and inflation remains controlled. However, rates are expected to remain higher than developed market levels for the foreseeable future, reflecting inherent emerging market risk premiums.

Mortgage availability is improving with more private and international lenders entering the Colombian market. This increased competition may lead to better terms and more flexible lending criteria, particularly for foreign buyers with overseas income sources.

High interest rates create challenges for local buyers, as mortgage payments consume larger portions of household income. However, this situation is easier for foreign buyers with overseas income, creating opportunities for international investors in the Santa Marta market.

How might climate change, coastal erosion, or flooding risks impact property values in Santa Marta long-term?

Climate change presents legitimate long-term considerations for Santa Marta's coastal real estate market, particularly for properties in vulnerable beachfront locations.

Coastal erosion risks are most significant for properties directly on or very near the beach. These areas may experience increased insurance costs, higher maintenance expenses, and potential value moderation as climate impacts become more apparent over time.

Flooding risks from both sea-level rise and increased storm intensity could affect low-lying areas of Santa Marta. Properties at higher elevations or with better drainage infrastructure are likely to maintain value better than vulnerable coastal areas.

Hurricane and severe weather risks may increase insurance costs and property maintenance expenses for coastal properties. However, Colombia's Caribbean coast generally experiences less severe hurricane activity than other Caribbean regions.

Mitigation efforts include sustainable building practices, improved coastal management initiatives, and city-led infrastructure improvements designed to address climate challenges. Properties incorporating climate-resilient design features may command premium values as awareness of these issues grows.

While climate risks are real, they are manageable through proper planning, appropriate property selection, and adequate insurance coverage. Investors should factor these considerations into location choices and long-term holding strategies.

What are the forecasts for Santa Marta's economy, tourism sector, and employment over the next 10 years?

Santa Marta's economic outlook shows strong fundamentals driven by tourism expansion, economic diversification, and strategic infrastructure development.

The tourism sector is projected to continue robust growth, with record visitor numbers likely within the next decade. This growth is supported by improved international connectivity, expanding cruise tourism, enhanced hotel infrastructure, and Santa Marta's positioning as an eco-tourism destination.

Economic diversification beyond tourism includes growth in logistics, hospitality services, creative industries, and digital services. The port facilities and strategic location support logistics sector expansion, while the growing digital nomad population encourages service sector development.

Employment quality is improving with new job creation from infrastructure projects, tourism expansion, and business development initiatives. The Agora Caribe project and other business hubs are expected to create professional employment opportunities that support middle-class housing demand.

Regional economic integration with other Caribbean coast cities creates additional opportunities for business development and population growth. Santa Marta's role as a regional hub for tourism and logistics strengthens its economic foundation.

These positive economic trends support sustained housing demand, rental market growth, and property value appreciation over the next decade.

What tax or regulatory changes are expected that could influence property ownership and pricing in Santa Marta?

Colombia's property tax and regulatory environment remains generally favorable for real estate investment, with current policies supporting continued foreign investment and market growth.

No restrictions on foreign property ownership continue to boost international investment in Santa Marta's real estate market. This policy advantage over many other Latin American destinations is expected to persist, maintaining Colombia's competitive position for foreign buyers.

Property transfer and capital gains taxes currently remain favorable compared to many other Latin American destinations. However, tax reforms are periodically discussed at the national level, and changes could potentially impact investment returns.

Potential sustainability-linked incentives may appear in future local reforms, providing tax advantages for energy-efficient or eco-friendly buildings. Such incentives would align with growing environmental consciousness and could create value premiums for green properties.

Municipal property tax rates may adjust as property values increase and local government revenue needs grow. However, such changes typically occur gradually and are often offset by improved municipal services and infrastructure.

Investors should monitor national tax policy discussions and maintain awareness of potential changes that could affect property investment returns. Overall, the regulatory environment is expected to remain supportive of real estate investment and foreign participation.

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Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Santa Marta Property Market Analysis
  2. Santa Marta Real Estate Dynamics 2025
  3. Average House Prices in Colombia
  4. Santa Marta Real Estate Market
  5. Colombian Real Estate Market Projections 2025
  6. Santa Marta Real Estate Trends
  7. Numbeo Property Investment Santa Marta
  8. Global Property Guide Colombia Price History