What are the price trends and forecasts in Brasília right now? (January 2026)

If you're thinking about buying property in Brasília, understanding the current housing prices and where they're headed is one of the most important steps you can take.

This blog post breaks down the latest price data, neighborhood trends, and forecasts for 2026 and beyond, so you can make decisions based on real numbers rather than guesswork.

We keep this article updated regularly so the information stays fresh and useful.

And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Brasília.

Who is the author of this content?

THE LATINVESTOR

A team specialized in real estate investing in LATAM countries

We are a team of financial experts, legal professionals, developers, and local real estate specialists dedicated to helping people like you avoid mistakes when investing in real estate in a foreign place, particularly in Brasília. If you’d like to learn more about us, you can check our presentation page.

What are the current property price trends in Brasília as of 2026?

What is the average house price in Brasília as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the average asking price for residential property in Brasília is approximately R$ 9,650 per square meter, which translates to around $1,740 per square meter or €1,480 per square meter using current exchange rates.

To put that in practical terms, a typical 80 square meter apartment in Brasília costs roughly R$ 770,000 (about $139,000 or €118,000), while a 120 square meter apartment runs closer to R$ 1.16 million (around $209,000 or €178,000).

For about 80% of property purchases in Brasília, you're looking at a price range from R$ 300,000 for entry-level apartments in areas like Guará up to R$ 2 million for premium homes in neighborhoods like Lago Sul or Asa Norte, which means most buyers are shopping somewhere between $54,000 and $360,000 in dollar terms.

How much have property prices increased in Brasília over the past 12 months?

Property prices in Brasília rose approximately 4% to 4.7% over the past 12 months, which represents steady but moderate growth compared to the national Brazilian average of nearly 8%.

Across different property types, the increase ranged from about 3% in older apartments within the Plano Piloto to closer to 8% in high-demand neighborhoods like Águas Claras where new construction is driving appreciation.

The single biggest factor behind this price movement was the combination of scarce land in prime zones and steady demand from Brasília's large base of public-sector employees whose incomes remain stable regardless of national economic swings.

Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Brasília as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the three neighborhoods with the fastest rising property prices in Brasília are Águas Claras, Noroeste, and Guará, all of which have consistently outperformed the citywide average.

Águas Claras leads with an estimated annual price growth of around 10% to 12%, followed by Noroeste at approximately 8% to 10%, and Guará coming in at roughly 6% to 8% year-over-year.

The main demand driver behind this growth is the combination of metro accessibility, modern construction, and relatively affordable prices compared to the Plano Piloto, which makes these neighborhoods especially attractive to young professionals and families looking for value without sacrificing convenience.

By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Brasília.

We have made this infographic to give you a quick and clear snapshot of the property market in Brazil. It highlights key facts like rental prices, yields, and property costs both in city centers and outside, so you can easily compare opportunities. We’ve done some research and also included useful insights about the country’s economy, like GDP, population, and interest rates, to help you understand the bigger picture.

Which property types are increasing faster in value in Brasília as of 2026?

As of early 2026, smaller apartments (one to two bedrooms) are appreciating fastest in Brasília, followed by gated-community houses, then standard condos, with large detached houses in luxury areas growing more slowly due to smaller buyer pools.

The top-performing property type, compact apartments in the 60 to 90 square meter range, is seeing annual appreciation of roughly 5% to 7% in well-located areas like Águas Claras and Sudoeste.

The main reason these smaller units outperform is simple: they match what most buyers in Brasília can afford given current mortgage rates, and they rent easily, which makes them attractive to both owner-occupiers and investors.

Finally, if you're interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:

• How much do properties cost in Brasília?
• How much should you pay for a house in Brasília?
• How much should you pay for an apartment in Brasília?
• How much should you pay for a condo in Brasília?

What is driving property prices up or down in Brasília as of 2026?

As of early 2026, the top three factors driving Brasília's property prices are the severely limited supply of land in prime areas like the Plano Piloto, the resilient demand from the city's large public-sector workforce, and rising construction costs that keep pushing up the floor for new builds.

The single factor with the strongest upward pressure is the structural scarcity in Brasília's most desirable zones, where zoning rules (PDOT) physically prevent significant new development, meaning existing properties keep their value even when broader credit conditions tighten.

If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Brasília here.

What is the property price forecast for Brasília in 2026?

How much are property prices expected to increase in Brasília in 2026?

As of early 2026, property prices in Brasília are expected to rise between 4% and 7% over the course of this year, based on current market momentum and anticipated changes in interest rates.

The range of forecasts varies: conservative estimates sit around 2% to 4% if credit conditions remain tight, while more optimistic projections reach 7% to 10% if the central bank begins cutting rates in the second half of the year as market expectations suggest.

The main assumption behind most forecasts is that Brazil's Selic rate will decline from 15% toward 12% by the end of 2026, which would meaningfully improve mortgage affordability and unlock pent-up buyer demand.

We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Brasília.

Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Brasília in 2026?

As of early 2026, the neighborhoods expected to see the highest price growth are Águas Claras, Noroeste, Guará, and Vicente Pires, all of which combine strong demand fundamentals with ongoing infrastructure improvements.

Projected price growth for these top neighborhoods ranges from 7% to 12% for the year, with Águas Claras likely to lead due to its metro connectivity and concentration of young professionals.

The primary catalyst is the ongoing metro expansion and urban development that continues to improve accessibility and attract new residents to these areas.

One emerging neighborhood that could surprise with higher-than-expected growth is Jardim Botânico, where high-end residential projects and proximity to green space are attracting buyers willing to pay for a quieter lifestyle while staying close to the city center.

By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Brasília.

What property types will appreciate the most in Brasília in 2026?

As of early 2026, compact apartments in the one to two bedroom range are expected to appreciate the most in Brasília, with projected gains of 5% to 8% for well-located units.

This projected appreciation reflects the reality that smaller units are what most buyers can finance at current rates, and they also attract steady rental demand from the city's large population of government workers and young professionals.

The main demand trend driving this is affordability: with mortgage rates around 10.7%, buyers are naturally gravitating toward properties with lower total price tags that fit within their financing capacity.

On the other hand, large luxury houses in areas like Lago Sul are expected to underperform because the buyer pool is thin, financing is less commonly used at that price point, and properties above R$ 2 million often sit on the market for extended periods.

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Brazil versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you’re planning to invest there.

How will interest rates affect property prices in Brasília in 2026?

As of early 2026, interest rates are the single most important variable for Brasília's property market because they directly determine how much house a typical buyer can afford with financing.

Brazil's benchmark Selic rate currently sits at 15%, which translates to mortgage rates around 10.7% for conventional loans, and market expectations point to a gradual decline toward 12% to 12.5% by year-end.

A 1% drop in mortgage rates typically increases buyer purchasing power by roughly 8% to 10%, which in Brasília's context could translate to faster sales, reduced negotiation discounts, and upward pressure on asking prices, especially in the R$ 500,000 to R$ 1 million segment where financing is most common.

You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Brazil.

What are the biggest risks for property prices in Brasília in 2026?

As of early 2026, the three biggest risks for Brasília property prices are a "higher for longer" interest rate scenario if inflation proves stickier than expected, potential credit tightening by banks even if demand exists, and localized oversupply in specific new-build corridors where too many similar projects are completing at once.

The risk with the highest probability of materializing is the first one: if the Selic rate stays at 15% through most of 2026 instead of declining as expected, buyer affordability will remain constrained and price growth could stall in the 0% to 3% range.

We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Brasília.

Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Brasília in 2026?

As of early 2026, buying a rental property in Brasília can make sense for long-term investors, particularly because gross rental yields around 6.6% are competitive by Brazilian standards and the city's stable public-sector employment base keeps vacancy rates low.

The strongest argument for buying now is that you can lock in properties at current prices before potential rate cuts in 2026 increase competition and push values higher.

The strongest argument for waiting is that high mortgage rates mean financing costs may eat into your returns, so unless you're buying with a substantial cash component, the numbers might not work as well as they will later when rates fall.

If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Brasília.

You'll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Brasília.

Where will property prices be in 5 years in Brasília?

What is the 5-year property price forecast for Brasília as of 2026?

As of early 2026, cumulative property price growth in Brasília over the next five years is expected to land between 25% and 40% in nominal terms, depending on how quickly interest rates normalize and whether the economy maintains steady growth.

In optimistic scenarios with faster rate cuts and strong demand, growth could reach 40% to 55%, while conservative scenarios with persistent tight credit point to a more modest 10% to 25% cumulative increase.

This translates to a projected average annual appreciation rate of roughly 4.5% to 7% per year compounded over the five-year period.

The key assumption most forecasters rely on is that Brazil's benchmark interest rate will gradually normalize toward 10% to 11% over the next few years, which would significantly improve housing affordability and sustain buyer demand.

Which areas in Brasília will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?

The top three areas in Brasília expected to deliver the best price growth over the next five years are Águas Claras, Noroeste, and Guará, all of which combine strong demand fundamentals with ongoing development momentum.

Projected five-year cumulative price growth for these areas ranges from 35% to 55%, with Águas Claras potentially leading due to metro connectivity and its appeal to young professionals.

This differs from the shorter one-year forecast mainly in magnitude: the same neighborhoods that are hot now will likely stay hot, but the compounding effect over five years amplifies the gap between growth leaders and the rest of the city.

One currently undervalued area with strong potential for outperformance is Taguatinga, where improving infrastructure and relatively low entry prices create room for catch-up appreciation as the neighborhood gentrifies.

What property type will give the best return in Brasília over 5 years as of 2026?

As of early 2026, compact two-bedroom apartments in well-connected areas are expected to give the best total return over five years in Brasília, combining solid price appreciation with reliable rental income.

The projected five-year total return for this property type, including both capital appreciation and rental yield, is roughly 55% to 75%, assuming you buy in a strong location and maintain good occupancy.

The main structural trend favoring compact apartments is Brasília's large population of public-sector workers and young professionals who need convenient, affordable housing near their workplaces and metro stations.

For investors prioritizing lower risk over maximum return, established condos in Asa Sul or Asa Norte offer a more defensive profile: slower appreciation but near-zero vacancy risk and resilient pricing even during downturns.

How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Brasília over 5 years?

The top three major infrastructure projects expected to impact Brasília property prices over the next five years are the metro Orange Line extension to Samambaia (3.6 km with two new stations), the Green Line extension toward Ceilândia, and the broader urban mobility improvements tied to the federal government's 30-year transit plan.

Historically, properties near completed metro stations in Brasília command a premium of roughly 10% to 20% compared to similar units farther from transit, and this pattern is likely to repeat as the new extensions open.

The neighborhoods that will benefit most from these infrastructure developments are Samambaia, Ceilândia, and Águas Claras, all of which will see improved connectivity and reduced commute times to the Plano Piloto.

How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Brasília in 5 years?

The Federal District's population is projected to grow at roughly 1% to 1.5% per year, which over five years means around 150,000 to 200,000 additional residents needing housing, creating steady underlying demand pressure on property values.

The demographic shift with the strongest influence on property demand in Brasília is the continued formation of smaller households, as young professionals and couples increasingly seek compact apartments rather than large family homes.

Migration patterns favor Brasília because the city attracts a constant flow of workers relocating for federal government positions and related service-sector jobs, which maintains a stable pool of potential buyers and renters.

The property types and areas that will benefit most from these demographic trends are modern one to two bedroom apartments in metro-accessible neighborhoods like Águas Claras, Noroeste, and Guará, where convenience and affordability intersect.

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Brazil compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

What is the 10 year property price outlook in Brasília?

What is the 10-year property price prediction for Brasília as of 2026?

As of early 2026, cumulative property price growth in Brasília over the next 10 years is expected to fall between 60% and 100% in nominal terms, reflecting the city's structural scarcity and Brazil's long-term inflation dynamics.

In optimistic scenarios with sustained economic stability and normalized interest rates, growth could reach 100% to 140%, while conservative scenarios with prolonged tight credit and weak macro conditions point to 30% to 60%.

This translates to a projected average annual appreciation rate of roughly 4.8% to 7.2% per year compounded over the decade.

The biggest uncertainty in making 10-year predictions for Brasília is Brazil's macroeconomic trajectory, particularly whether the country can sustain low inflation and reasonable interest rates, which directly determine housing affordability and demand.

What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Brasília?

The top three long-term economic factors that will shape Brasília property prices over the next decade are Brazil's interest rate regime (how often financing is affordable for average buyers), the stability of government employment in the federal capital, and construction costs that set the floor for new development.

The single factor with the most positive long-term impact on property values is Brasília's unique status as the federal capital, which guarantees a permanent base of stable-income households regardless of what happens in other Brazilian cities.

The single factor that poses the greatest structural risk is Brazil's tendency toward periodic high-inflation episodes, which can erode real property values even when nominal prices rise and create unpredictable swings in affordability.

You'll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Brasília.

What sources have we used to write this blog article?

Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Brasília, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can … and we don't throw out numbers at random.

We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.

Source	Why it's authoritative	How we used it
FIPE FipeZAP Index	It's produced by FIPE, a respected Brazilian economics institute with transparent methodology.	We used it as our main price per square meter anchor for Brasília's residential asking prices. We also tracked 12-month and year-to-date changes from their published data.
DataZAP Monthly Reports	It's the official monthly publication behind the FipeZAP numbers with full city tables.	We pulled Brasília's latest price per square meter and its 12-month change from their November 2025 report.
Banco Central do Brasil (Selic)	It's the central bank's official page for Brazil's benchmark interest rate.	We used Selic as the baseline for mortgage pricing and connected rate direction to housing affordability.
BCB Focus Survey	It's the central bank's official compilation of market forecasts used widely in Brazil.	We used Focus to frame 2026 rate expectations that drive our price growth scenarios.
IBGE IPCA	It's Brazil's official inflation statistic from the national statistics agency.	We used IPCA to separate nominal price growth from real (after-inflation) growth in our analysis.
IBGE Population Estimates	It's the official population estimate series from Brazil's national statistics agency.	We used Federal District population as a demand backdrop for long-term price support.
FGV IBRE IGP-M	It's a widely cited Brazilian economic institute publishing recognized price indices.	We used IGP-M as a secondary inflation indicator to cross-check real returns on property.
FGV IBRE INCC	It's a long-running national construction cost index from a respected economic institute.	We used INCC to explain why new apartments tend to reset price floors upward over time.
Sinduscon-DF CUB	It's the official construction industry body for the Federal District.	We used CUB-DF to localize the replacement cost story specifically for Brasília properties.
BCB Real Estate Market Statistics	It's the central bank's official statistics on real estate credit and transactions.	We used it to ground our credit channel analysis and explain how lending conditions affect demand.
ABECIP	It's the main industry association tracking Brazil's housing finance market.	We used ABECIP as a cross-check on financing volume and market conditions.
CBIC National Indicators	It's Brazil's main construction industry chamber with standardized national data.	We used CBIC to contextualize whether Brasília moves with or against the national cycle.
IPEDF Codeplan PDAD-A	It's the Federal District's official statistics institute with the flagship household survey.	We used PDAD-A to describe Brasília's household profile and what it means for property demand.
SEDUH-DF PDOT	It's the Federal District's official urban planning authority.	We used PDOT to explain how zoning constraints protect prices in prime areas.
Terracap	It's the Federal District's official land development company.	We used Terracap activity as a supply pulse indicator for houses and development land.
QuintoAndar/Wimoveis Rent Index	It's a large platform index that blends listings and closed contracts with disclosed methodology.	We used it to estimate rental yields and identify which regions are heating up in the rental market.
Global Property Guide	It's an independent property research platform with consistent international methodology.	We used it to cross-check Brazilian city comparisons and validate FipeZAP figures.