Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Guatemala Property Pack
Yes, the analysis of Antigua's property market is included in our pack
Antigua's property market in 2026 is shaped by record tourism arrivals, the Citizenship by Investment Programme, and limited coastal supply pushing prices steadily upward.
This article breaks down current housing prices, neighborhood trends, and realistic forecasts for the next 5 to 10 years based on the latest data we could gather.
We constantly update this blog post to reflect new market developments and fresh statistics.
And if you're planning to buy a property in this place, you may want to download our pack covering the real estate market in Antigua.
Insights
- Antigua property prices grew between 5% and 9% in the past 12 months, with prime coastal villas and turnkey condos leading at 6% to 12% annual appreciation.
- The typical home in Antigua in January 2026 costs between US$650,000 and US$1.3 million, with price per square meter ranging from US$3,800 to US$6,500.
- Jolly Harbour and English Harbour consistently command premium prices due to marina access, gated communities, and strong rental demand from tourists.
- Antigua's Citizenship by Investment Programme requires a minimum US$300,000 real estate purchase, concentrating international demand into approved developments.
- Tourism arrivals hit record levels in 2024 and 2025, with over 330,000 stay-over visitors and 800,000+ cruise passengers supporting rental property demand.
- The ECCB discount rate sits at 3% and the call rate at 2.4% as of the first half of 2026, keeping borrowing costs moderate but still influencing local buyer affordability.
- Hurricane risk and rising insurance costs remain the biggest pricing differentiators, with storm-resilient, well-elevated homes holding value better over cycles.
- Over the next 5 years, baseline forecasts suggest cumulative price growth of 25% to 40% in Antigua, equivalent to roughly 4.5% to 7% annually.
What are the current property price trends in Antigua as of 2026?
What is the average house price in Antigua as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the typical residential property in Antigua sells for between US$650,000 and US$1,300,000 (roughly EC$1.75 million to EC$3.5 million, or approximately EUR 600,000 to EUR 1.2 million), though this range can shift significantly depending on whether you're looking at a modest inland home or a beachfront villa.
When it comes to price per square meter, Antigua properties in January 2026 typically fall between US$3,800 and US$6,500 per sqm (around EC$10,300 to EC$17,600 per sqm, or EUR 3,500 to EUR 6,000 per sqm), which translates to roughly US$350 to US$600 per square foot.
If you're wondering what 80% of buyers actually pay in Antigua, the realistic range stretches from about US$350,000 for a modest condo or inland home up to US$2,000,000 for a well-located villa with sea views (approximately EC$945,000 to EC$5.4 million, or EUR 320,000 to EUR 1.85 million), with high-end coastal listings occasionally exceeding US$8,000 to US$11,000 per square meter.
How much have property prices increased in Antigua over the past 12 months?
Property prices in Antigua have increased by an estimated 5% to 9% over the past 12 months in nominal terms, reflecting steady demand rather than the rapid post-pandemic surge seen in earlier years.
This growth varies by property type, with prime coastal villas and turnkey condos appreciating by 6% to 12%, while more local or inland homes and older stock have seen more modest increases of 3% to 6%.
The single most significant factor behind this price movement is the continued strength of Antigua's tourism sector, which saw record-breaking visitor arrivals in 2024 and 2025, directly supporting rental income potential and international buyer confidence.
Which neighborhoods have the fastest rising property prices in Antigua as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the top three neighborhoods with the fastest rising property prices in Antigua are Jolly Harbour in St. Mary's, English Harbour and Falmouth Harbour in the south, and Hodges Bay on the north coast.
These areas have seen annual price growth ranging from approximately 8% to 12% for Jolly Harbour and English Harbour, while Hodges Bay has experienced gains of around 7% to 10% as newer developments attract international buyers.
The main demand driver in these neighborhoods is the overlap of international buyer interest, strong rental liquidity from tourists, and the "turnkey coastal lifestyle" appeal that makes properties easy to rent or resell.
By the way, you will find much more detailed price ranges across neighborhoods in our property pack covering the real estate market in Antigua.
We have made this infographic to give you a quick and clear snapshot of the property market in Guatemala. It highlights key facts like rental prices, yields, and property costs both in city centers and outside, so you can easily compare opportunities. We’ve done some research and also included useful insights about the country’s economy, like GDP, population, and interest rates, to help you understand the bigger picture.
Which property types are increasing faster in value in Antigua as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the ranking of property types by appreciation rate in Antigua places turnkey condos and apartments in resort or gated communities at the top, followed by well-built villas with sea views, then townhouses in high-amenity communities, with older standalone houses appreciating more slowly.
Turnkey condos in rental-friendly developments are appreciating at approximately 8% to 12% annually in Antigua, outpacing other property types due to their appeal to both investors and second-home buyers.
The main reason condos are outperforming is their alignment with Antigua's Citizenship by Investment Programme requirements and their ease of management for rental income, which makes them attractive to international buyers who want both lifestyle and return.
Finally, if you're interested in a specific property type, you will find our latest analyses here:
What is driving property prices up or down in Antigua as of 2026?
As of early 2026, the top three factors driving property prices in Antigua are record-breaking tourism arrivals supporting rental demand, the Citizenship by Investment Programme channeling foreign buyers into approved developments, and the fundamental scarcity of prime coastal land.
Among these, tourism strength has the most powerful upward pressure on Antigua property prices because it directly supports rental yields, which in turn makes investment properties more valuable and attracts international buyers seeking both lifestyle and income.
If you want to understand these factors at a deeper level, you can read our latest property market analysis about Antigua here.
Get fresh and reliable information about the market in Antigua
Don't base significant investment decisions on outdated data. Get updated and accurate information with our guide.
What is the property price forecast for Antigua in 2026?
How much are property prices expected to increase in Antigua in 2026?
As of early 2026, property prices in Antigua are expected to increase by approximately 4% to 8% over the course of the year under baseline conditions.
Forecasts from different analysts range from a conservative 0% to 3% in a downside scenario involving global shocks or climate events, up to an optimistic 8% to 12% if tourism remains exceptionally strong and supply stays constrained.
The main assumption underlying most price increase forecasts for Antigua is that tourism arrivals will continue at or above current record levels, supporting rental demand and international buyer confidence throughout 2026.
We go deeper and try to understand how solid are these forecasts in our pack covering the property market in Antigua.
Which neighborhoods will see the highest price growth in Antigua in 2026?
As of early 2026, the neighborhoods expected to see the highest price growth in Antigua are Jolly Harbour, English Harbour and Falmouth Harbour, Hodges Bay, Dickenson Bay, and select resort areas in St. Philip such as the Nonsuch Bay corridor.
Projected price growth for these top Antigua neighborhoods ranges from 6% to 12% in 2026, with English Harbour and Jolly Harbour likely at the higher end due to their established international appeal and constrained supply.
The primary catalyst driving expected growth in these neighborhoods is the combination of persistent international demand, proven rental liquidity, and the simple fact that you cannot create more prime coastal land in these already-developed areas.
One emerging neighborhood that could surprise with higher-than-expected growth is Runaway Bay, just north of St. John's, which offers coastal convenience and proximity to the capital while remaining slightly more affordable than the established hotspots.
By the way, we've written a blog article detailing what are the current best areas to invest in property in Antigua.
What property types will appreciate the most in Antigua in 2026?
As of early 2026, turnkey condos and apartments in amenity-rich, rental-friendly developments are expected to appreciate the most in Antigua, followed closely by modern villas with strong storm resilience features.
The projected appreciation for top-performing turnkey condos in Antigua is approximately 8% to 12% in 2026, driven by their dual appeal to lifestyle buyers and rental investors.
The main demand trend driving appreciation for condos is the growing preference among international buyers for low-maintenance properties that generate rental income during peak tourism season while also qualifying for the Citizenship by Investment Programme.
Older standalone houses that need renovation and don't rent well are expected to underperform in Antigua in 2026, because buyers clearly see the upgrade costs and tend to price in the renovation expense, limiting appreciation potential.
We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Guatemala versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you’re planning to invest there.
How will interest rates affect property prices in Antigua in 2026?
As of early 2026, interest rate trends are having a moderate but real impact on Antigua property prices, primarily affecting local buyers and those who finance purchases rather than international cash buyers who dominate the prime market.
The current ECCB discount rate stands at 3% and the call rate at 2.4% as of early January 2026, and mortgage rates in Antigua typically run several percentage points higher, with most analysts expecting rates to remain stable or see only modest adjustments through the year.
A 1% change in interest rates typically affects property affordability meaningfully for financed purchases in Antigua, but because a significant portion of prime and coastal sales involve cash buyers or international financing, the overall price impact on the market tends to be muted compared to countries where most purchases are mortgage-dependent.
You can also read our latest update about mortgage and interest rates in Guatemala.
What are the biggest risks for property prices in Antigua in 2026?
As of early 2026, the top three biggest risks for property prices in Antigua are hurricane or climate shocks that could damage properties and trigger insurance repricing, a global economic slowdown that reduces discretionary second-home demand, and potential supply surges from large new developments that could temporarily oversupply specific micro-markets.
Among these, hurricane and climate risk has the highest probability of materializing in Antigua, because the Caribbean hurricane season is an annual reality, and even a near-miss storm can affect insurance costs and buyer sentiment, making this a recurring concern that's priced into market behavior.
We actually cover all these risks and their likelihoods in our pack about the real estate market in Antigua.
Is it a good time to buy a rental property in Antigua in 2026?
As of early 2026, it can be a good time to buy a rental property in Antigua if you focus on the property types and locations that the rental market actually rewards: walk-to-beach or beachfront properties, turnkey condition, reliable utilities with backup power and water, and proven rental zones like Jolly Harbour, English Harbour, or Dickenson Bay.
The strongest argument in favor of buying a rental property now in Antigua is that tourism arrivals are at record levels, rental demand remains robust, and well-located properties continue to appreciate while generating income during peak season.
The strongest argument for waiting is that you shouldn't stretch your budget on a property whose numbers only work in a perfect year, because insurance costs, maintenance expenses, and the occasional hurricane season can quietly erode returns if the property isn't genuinely resilient and well-positioned.
If you want to know our latest analysis (results may differ from what you just read), you can read our assessment on whether now is a good time to buy a property in Antigua.
You'll also find a dedicated document about this specific question in our pack about real estate in Antigua.
Buying real estate in Antigua can be risky
An increasing number of foreign investors are showing interest. However, 90% of them will make mistakes. Avoid the pitfalls with our comprehensive guide.
Where will property prices be in 5 years in Antigua?
What is the 5-year property price forecast for Antigua as of 2026?
As of early 2026, cumulative property price growth in Antigua over the next 5 years is expected to fall between 25% and 40% under baseline conditions, meaning a property worth US$1 million today could be worth US$1.25 million to US$1.4 million by early 2031.
The range of 5-year forecasts spans from a conservative 10% to 20% total growth in a downside scenario with climate shocks or global economic weakness, up to an optimistic 40% to 60% if tourism remains exceptionally strong and prime supply stays constrained.
This translates to a projected average annual appreciation rate of approximately 4.5% to 7% per year over the next 5 years in Antigua, compounding steadily rather than spiking dramatically.
The key assumption most forecasters rely on for their 5-year Antigua property price predictions is that tourism will remain a reliable economic engine and that the Citizenship by Investment Programme will continue channeling international demand into the market.
Which areas in Antigua will have the best price growth over the next 5 years?
The top three areas in Antigua expected to have the best price growth over the next 5 years are English Harbour and Falmouth Harbour, Jolly Harbour, and Hodges Bay, all of which combine scarcity of prime supply with strong rental liquidity and established international buyer recognition.
Projected 5-year cumulative price growth for these top-performing areas in Antigua ranges from 30% to 50%, outpacing the broader market average due to their unique combination of coastal appeal and proven demand.
This largely mirrors the shorter-term forecast because the same structural factors that drive growth in 2026, including tourism, CIP demand, and limited coastal land, will continue compounding over the 5-year horizon without fundamental change.
One currently undervalued area in Antigua with strong potential for outperformance over 5 years is the St. Philip parish corridor near Nonsuch Bay, where resort-driven development is expanding and infrastructure improvements are making the area more accessible to both tourists and buyers.
What property type will give the best return in Antigua over 5 years as of 2026?
As of early 2026, turnkey condos and apartments in established, high-occupancy rental zones are expected to give the best total return over 5 years in Antigua, balancing appreciation with rental income and lower maintenance risk than standalone villas.
Projected 5-year total return for top-performing turnkey condos in Antigua, combining price appreciation and rental income, could reach 50% to 70% cumulatively, assuming consistent occupancy and responsible property management.
The main structural trend favoring this property type over the next 5 years is the continued growth of tourism-driven rental demand combined with international buyers preferring hassle-free, income-generating assets that also qualify for citizenship programmes.
For investors seeking the best balance of return and lower risk over 5 years in Antigua, mid-to-upper villas with strong resilience features, including good elevation, backup utilities, and quality construction, offer solid appreciation potential with less exposure to the management challenges of high-turnover rental condos.
How will new infrastructure projects affect property prices in Antigua over 5 years?
The top three major infrastructure projects expected to impact property prices in Antigua over the next 5 years are the US$15 million Barbuda airport runway expansion and terminal development, the US$100 million-plus road rehabilitation program across Antigua, and continued upgrades to V.C. Bird International Airport to handle growing tourist arrivals.
The typical price premium for properties near completed infrastructure projects in Antigua ranges from 5% to 15%, with areas that gain improved access, better roads, or enhanced utilities seeing the most noticeable lifts in buyer interest and pricing power.
Neighborhoods that will benefit most from these infrastructure developments in Antigua include Barbuda, where the airport expansion will open new luxury tourism opportunities, north-coast areas near the airport corridor like Hodges Bay, and communities along newly rehabilitated road networks that improve connectivity to St. John's and popular beaches.
How will population growth and other factors impact property values in Antigua in 5 years?
Antigua's population is relatively small and stable, so projected population growth of around 1% to 2% annually over the next 5 years will have a modest direct impact on property values, less significant than tourism demand or international buyer activity.
The demographic shift that will have the strongest influence on property demand in Antigua is the growing number of international remote workers and retirees seeking Caribbean lifestyle properties, which is expanding the buyer pool beyond traditional tourists and second-home seekers.
Migration patterns, particularly the inflow of foreign buyers through the Citizenship by Investment Programme and the return of diaspora families, are expected to support property values in Antigua over the next 5 years by maintaining steady demand in popular coastal areas.
Property types and areas that will benefit most from these demographic trends in Antigua are turnkey condos and modern villas in established rental zones like Jolly Harbour and English Harbour, which appeal to both lifestyle migrants and investment-focused buyers.
We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Guatemala compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It’s an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.
What is the 10 year property price outlook in Antigua?
What is the 10-year property price prediction for Antigua as of 2026?
As of early 2026, cumulative property price growth in Antigua over the next 10 years is expected to fall between 55% and 95% under baseline conditions, meaning a property worth US$1 million today could be worth US$1.55 million to US$1.95 million by 2036.
The range of 10-year forecasts spans from a conservative 30% to 50% total growth in a downside scenario with persistent climate challenges or global economic disruption, up to an optimistic 100% to 130% if tourism outperforms and prime supply remains constrained.
This translates to a projected average annual appreciation rate of approximately 4.5% to 7% per year over the next 10 years in Antigua, similar to the 5-year outlook but with wider uncertainty bands.
The biggest uncertainty factor in making 10-year property price predictions for Antigua is climate risk and insurance costs, because over a decade the cumulative impact of hurricanes, building code changes, and insurance market shifts could meaningfully differentiate between resilient properties that hold value and vulnerable ones that struggle.
What long-term economic factors will shape property prices in Antigua?
The top three long-term economic factors that will shape property prices in Antigua over the next decade are tourism competitiveness and air connectivity, policy stability including the Citizenship by Investment Programme structure, and climate resilience along with insurability of coastal properties.
Among these, tourism competitiveness and connectivity will have the most positive impact on Antigua property values, because the island's economy depends heavily on visitors, and expanded airlift plus strong destination marketing directly support rental demand and international buyer confidence.
The single long-term economic factor that poses the greatest structural risk to property values in Antigua is climate change and hurricane exposure, because rising sea levels, more intense storms, and escalating insurance costs could gradually erode the value of vulnerable coastal properties over a decade.
You'll also find a much more detailed analysis in our pack about real estate in Antigua.
What sources have we used to write this blog article?
Whether it's in our blog articles or the market analyses included in our property pack about Antigua, we always rely on the strongest methodology we can, and we don't throw out numbers at random.
We also aim to be fully transparent, so below we've listed the authoritative sources we used, and explained how we used them and the methods behind our estimates.
| Source | Why it's authoritative | How we used it |
|---|---|---|
| Antigua & Barbuda National Bureau of Statistics | It's the official statistics agency for Antigua & Barbuda. | We use it for ground truth on inflation, GDP updates, and official releases. We also use it to anchor demand drivers like household costs and macro conditions. |
| NBS Travel & Tourism datasets | It's official tourism measurement using standardized methods. | We use it to quantify tourism demand pressure that feeds the villa and condo market. We cross-check it with tourism authority announcements for consistency. |
| NBS Construction hub | It's the official portal for construction datasets and analysis. | We use it as a proxy for housing supply and what's being built. We use it to check whether supply is keeping up with demand in 2026. |
| Eastern Caribbean Central Bank Interest Rates | It's the regional central bank and reference source for ECCU monetary conditions. | We use it to state the prevailing ECCB policy rates as of early 2026. We translate rates into likely mortgage pressure on prices. |
| ECCB Statistics dashboard | It's the official regional macro and financial statistics platform. | We use it to triangulate credit conditions and macro trends relevant to housing demand. We use it to frame the money side of the property market. |
| IMF Antigua & Barbuda 2025 Article IV Staff Report | It's the IMF's country surveillance report with consistent methodology. | We use it to anchor growth, fiscal, and risk assumptions feeding our 2026 to 2036 scenarios. We cross-check the macro outlook with ECCB and World Bank indicators. |
| IMF Country page At a Glance | It summarizes IMF projections in a quick, comparable format. | We use it to reference 2026 projected growth and inflation in one place. We use it as a cross-check against the detailed Article IV narrative. |
| World Bank Country dashboard | It's a standardized global dataset compiled from official national sources. | We use it for long-run context on population, inflation, and macro baselines. We cross-check IMF and ECCB figures for consistency. |
| Antigua & Barbuda Citizenship by Investment Programme | It's the government's official rules page for the CIP real estate route. | We use it to explain why some new-build condos and villas have a CIP-approved premium. We connect policy thresholds to demand concentration in specific areas. |
| Antigua & Barbuda Tourism Authority | It's an official tourism authority release tied to stated results. | We use it to support demand drivers like airlift, arrivals, and tourism strategy. We treat it as directional and cross-check it with NBS tourism datasets. |
| Savills Antigua & Barbuda live listings | Savills is a major global brokerage with consistent listing metadata. | We use it to compute transparent asking price per sqm ranges by property type. We do not treat it as an index but as a real-time market check in January 2026. |
| Savills Research Islands report | It's a global research house with stated methodology for prime markets. | We use it for prime-market benchmarks like price per sq ft and growth since 2021. We combine it with live listing math to estimate today's levels. |
| UNEP story on Antigua hurricane impacts | It's a UN body providing credible climate-risk context. | We use it to explain why insurance, elevation, and build quality matter to values. We translate climate risk into practical buyer checklists and scenario ranges. |
| UNDP Antigua & Barbuda resilience initiative | It's a UN agency whose work reflects material climate realities. | We use it to frame climate resilience as a long-run risk and pricing differentiator. We link resilience investment to where prices hold up best over cycles. |
| Central Housing & Planning Authority (CHAPA) | It's a public-sector body tied to housing allocation and planning. | We use it to support the supply and planning narrative. We use it to explain why supply can be lumpy by area and project. |
| World Bank GDP growth indicator page | It's the World Bank's official GDP growth series presentation. | We use it to ground recent history and avoid single-source bias. We use it as context for demand cycles and affordability pressure. |
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If you want to go deeper, you can read the following:
- Is now a good time to invest in property in Antigua (Guatemala)?