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Will house prices go down in Tamarindo?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Costa Rica Property Pack

property investment Tamarindo

Yes, the analysis of Tamarindo's property market is included in our pack

Tamarindo property prices have already declined by 30-36% year-over-year in 2024-2025 after a dramatic correction following the unprecedented 400% surge between 2020-2023. The market is now stabilizing with increased sales volume and faster property turnover, indicating a healthier equilibrium.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Costa Rica, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

What have house prices in Tamarindo done over the past five years?

Tamarindo property prices experienced an extraordinary 400% surge between 2020 and 2023, primarily driven by foreign investment and the remote work boom during the pandemic.

The market peaked in 2023 and then saw a dramatic correction in 2024-2025, with average prices dropping by 30-36% year-over-year. The median home price currently stands at approximately $550,000, while luxury villas average $1.7 million.

Despite this significant correction, current prices remain up to 400% higher than they were five years ago. The average price per square meter now ranges from $2,725 to $4,000, with beachfront properties commanding $4,000 to $6,300 per square meter.

This price trajectory reflects a classic market cycle where rapid appreciation was followed by a healthy correction, bringing valuations closer to sustainable levels while still maintaining substantial gains from the pre-pandemic baseline.

How much inventory of homes is currently on the market in Tamarindo?

As of September 2025, Tamarindo's real estate market shows 19 active properties currently listed for sale, representing a 9.52% monthly decrease in inventory.

This relatively low inventory level indicates persisting demand despite the recent price corrections. The declining inventory suggests that properties are being absorbed by the market at a steady pace, which supports price stabilization.

The limited supply reflects Tamarindo's constrained geography and development regulations, which naturally restrict the number of new properties that can enter the market. This supply constraint has historically supported property values and continues to be a fundamental factor in the local real estate dynamics.

Compared to peak inventory levels during the market correction period, the current inventory represents a healthier balance between supply and demand, indicating that the market is moving toward equilibrium.

What is the average number of days a property stays listed before being sold?

Properties in Tamarindo currently spend an average of 354 days on the market before being sold, which represents a 40% improvement in selling speed compared to the previous year.

This faster turnover indicates increased buyer activity and improved market liquidity following the price corrections. The acceleration in sales velocity suggests that properties are now priced more attractively for buyers.

The nearly 12-month average selling period reflects the luxury nature of many Tamarindo properties, where buyers typically take more time for due diligence and decision-making. International buyers, who comprise about 40% of the market, often require additional time for financing and legal processes.

The improving sales velocity is a positive indicator for market health, suggesting that the correction has brought prices to levels where buyer interest is more robust and transactions can close more efficiently.

How many new housing developments or construction projects are underway in Tamarindo?

Tamarindo continues to experience robust development activity, particularly in the eco-friendly and luxury segments, with several major projects currently underway or in planning phases.

Development Name Type Key Features
Tamarindo Park Sustainable Gated Community Multiple phases including Coral Gardens and The Reef
Nikori Lifestyles Organic Living Community Farm-to-table focused development
Grande Salvaje Luxury Gated Community Premium amenities and future expansion planned
Four Seasons Private Residences Ultra-Luxury Development Branded residences with resort services
Tamarindo Walk Mixed-Use Development Commercial and residential components

It's something we develop in our Costa Rica property pack.

What are the current mortgage interest rates in Costa Rica and how do they compare to last year?

As of September 2025, mortgage interest rates in Costa Rica stand at 7.61%, representing a decrease from 7.92% in August 2024.

The average mortgage rate for 2025 has been approximately 7.65%, compared to 8.61% in 2024, showing a downward trend that benefits property buyers. This decline in rates has contributed to improved affordability and increased buyer activity in the market.

US dollar-denominated loans typically range from 7% to 10%, while colón-denominated loans generally carry higher rates. Private lenders often charge premium rates above traditional banking institutions.

The improving rate environment supports the market recovery by reducing financing costs for buyers, making property purchases more accessible and potentially stimulating demand in the coming months.

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How many foreign buyers are actively purchasing properties in Tamarindo today compared to past years?

Foreign buyers currently account for approximately 40% of property transactions in Tamarindo, maintaining a significant market influence even after the recent price correction.

This level of international participation has remained relatively stable compared to peak years, indicating sustained global interest in Tamarindo real estate despite market volatility. The consistency of foreign investment demonstrates the area's enduring appeal to international buyers.

The maintained foreign buyer presence supports market stability and provides a buffer against purely domestic economic fluctuations. These buyers often bring different financing capabilities and investment timelines compared to local purchasers.

The continued strong international demand, combined with Costa Rica's stable political environment and favorable property ownership laws for foreigners, positions Tamarindo as a resilient market for global real estate investment.

What is the average rental yield or return on investment for properties in Tamarindo right now?

Rental yields in Tamarindo currently average between 7% and 10%, with vacation rental properties particularly strong performers due to robust tourist demand.

The high-demand seasons from December to April and July to August drive premium rental rates, while year-round demand from digital nomads and long-term expat residents provides stable occupancy during traditionally slower periods.

Short-term vacation rentals typically achieve the higher end of the yield range, benefiting from Tamarindo's established position as a premier Costa Rican beach destination. Properties with ocean views, modern amenities, and professional management often exceed the average yield figures.

These strong rental returns, combined with the recent price corrections, create attractive investment opportunities for buyers seeking both capital appreciation potential and immediate income generation from their Tamarindo properties.

How has the local economy and employment in Tamarindo and nearby areas been trending recently?

Costa Rica's economy demonstrated strong growth with over 5% expansion in 2023, and OECD forecasts project continued growth of 3.1% for 2025, with Tamarindo benefiting from tourism recovery and infrastructure improvements.

The local economy remains heavily dependent on tourism, which has shown robust recovery post-pandemic with increased international visitor arrivals. The service sector, including hospitality, restaurants, and recreational activities, continues to expand to meet growing demand.

Employment opportunities in Tamarindo have increased in tourism-related sectors, property management, construction, and services catering to the growing expat community. The digital nomad trend has also created demand for co-working spaces and technology services.

Infrastructure investments, including road improvements and utility upgrades, support long-term economic stability and enhance the area's attractiveness for both residents and investors. The diversification toward sustainable tourism and eco-friendly development creates additional employment opportunities.

What seasonal fluctuations in demand typically affect house prices in Tamarindo?

Tamarindo experiences pronounced seasonal demand patterns that influence both property sales and rental markets throughout the year.

  • High Season (December-April): Peak demand for both property purchases and rentals, with increased buyer activity from North American and European visitors escaping winter weather
  • Mid-Season (July-August): Secondary peak driven by summer vacation travelers and families, supporting strong rental rates and property viewing activity
  • Shoulder Seasons (May-June, September-November): Reduced tourist activity but increased interest from serious buyers seeking better deals and less crowded viewing conditions
  • Rainy Season (May-November): Lower rental occupancy but growing appeal to digital nomads and long-term residents who appreciate reduced crowds and lower living costs
  • Year-Round Trends: Steady interest from retirement-focused buyers and investors who plan purchases independent of seasonal tourism patterns
infographics rental yields citiesTamarindo

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Costa Rica versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

How do prices in Tamarindo compare to other nearby Costa Rican beach towns at the moment?

Tamarindo's current pricing positions it as a premium but not the most expensive beach destination in Costa Rica, with average prices per square meter ranging from $2,725 to $4,000.

Beach Town Average Price per m² (2025) Market Position
Nosara $3,298+ Most Expensive
Tamarindo $2,725–$4,000+ Premium/High Demand
Santa Teresa $2,000–$3,500 High-End Alternative
Playa Flamingo/Grande Similar to Tamarindo Comparable/Varies
San Juan del Sur, Nicaragua $1,500–$2,500 Lower Cost Option
San Pedro, Belize $2,691–$3,989 Regional Comparable

It's something we develop in our Costa Rica property pack.

What government regulations, taxes, or policy changes could affect property prices in the near future?

The most significant recent policy change affecting Tamarindo property owners is the 2025 tax reform, which increased property tax obligations through municipal reassessment, particularly in rapidly appreciating zones.

This tax reform aims to stabilize the market and fund local infrastructure improvements, but it adds to holding costs for investors. Properties that experienced dramatic value increases during the 2020-2023 boom face higher annual tax obligations based on updated assessments.

The increased tax burden could moderate future speculative activity and slightly dampen rental yields in the short term, while potentially creating downward pressure on property values as investors factor higher carrying costs into their calculations.

However, the revenue generated from these taxes is intended to fund infrastructure improvements, which could enhance property values over the long term by improving roads, utilities, and public services that make Tamarindo more attractive to residents and visitors.

What do local real estate agents and analysts project for Tamarindo property prices over the next 12 to 24 months?

Local real estate professionals and market analysts consensus forecasts indicate price stabilization through 2025 followed by a return to moderate growth of 6-8% annually beginning in 2026.

The luxury segment may experience continued softening in 2025 as high-end inventory works through the market, while mid-market and eco-friendly developments are expected to recover first due to broader buyer appeal and stronger demand fundamentals.

Analysts expect that increased property taxes and more realistic pricing will temper the speculative activity seen between 2020-2023, creating a more sustainable growth trajectory supported by genuine demand rather than investment speculation.

The long-term outlook remains positive, supported by Costa Rica's strong international reputation, limited supply constraints, sustained tourism growth, and continued interest from international buyers seeking tropical lifestyle and investment opportunities.

It's something we develop in our Costa Rica property pack.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. The LatinVestor - Tamarindo Price Forecasts
  2. Langston Realty - Tamarindo Market Insights
  3. MyPalmyra - Future Developments in Tamarindo
  4. The Global Economy - Costa Rica Mortgage Rates
  5. GAP Real Estate - Costa Rica Mortgage Rate Comparison
  6. Global Property Guide - Costa Rica Mortgage Interest Rates
  7. Coldwell Banker Costa Rica - Market Trends 2025
  8. AirROI - Tamarindo Rental Analysis
  9. OECD Economic Outlook - Costa Rica 2025
  10. Vacation Property Expert Network - Costa Rica Investment