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Are Guanacaste property prices going up now? (June 2025)

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Costa Rica Property Pack

property investment Guanacaste

Yes, the analysis of Guanacaste's property market is included in our pack

Guanacaste's residential property market has experienced extraordinary growth, with prices surging 400% between 2020 and 2023 before stabilizing in 2025. As we reach mid-2025, the Guanacaste property market shows signs of steady recovery after a significant correction in 2024, with average home prices now at $967,506 and luxury properties averaging $1,737,732.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Costa Rica, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At TheLatinvestor, we explore the Costa Rican real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Tamarindo, Liberia, and Nosara. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What are the current average property prices in Guanacaste as of June 2025?

As of June 2025, the median home price in Guanacaste is approximately $967,506, while luxury homes average $1,737,732.

Property prices per square meter have experienced significant changes, with houses currently averaging $1,530/m² after a 31% year-over-year decline from the 2024 peak. Apartments previously averaged $2,896/m² in mid-2024, though they've also seen corrections.

In specific locations, prices vary dramatically based on proximity to the beach and amenities. Tamarindo commands the highest prices at $966 to $6,302 per square meter, while Playa Potrero ranges from $1,809 to $5,704 per square meter. Nosara, popular among wellness enthusiasts, sees prices between $1,641 and $4,690 per square meter.

More affordable options exist in inland areas, with Liberia offering the most budget-friendly prices at $571 to $2,223 per square meter, and Nicoya ranging from $558 to $2,409 per square meter.

It's something we develop in our Costa Rica property pack.

How much have property prices increased in Guanacaste over the past 5 years?

Guanacaste experienced one of the most dramatic property price surges in Central America, with coastal properties increasing by approximately 400% between 2020 and 2023.

In 2020, the average coastal home price was around $100,000. By 2023, these same properties were selling for $400,000 to $500,000, representing a fourfold increase. This extraordinary growth was driven by the pandemic-induced migration of remote workers and international buyers seeking tropical lifestyles.

However, 2024 brought a significant market correction. Property prices dropped by 36% as the market adjusted from the pandemic-era boom, with houses experiencing a 31% year-over-year decline by June 2025.

Despite this correction, current property values remain 300-400% higher than 2020 levels. A property worth $100,000 in 2020 is still valued at approximately $300,000-$400,000 in 2025, even after the market adjustment.

Real estate transactions in Guanacaste totaled $156 million in 2023 alone, according to the Observatory of Tourism, Migration, and Sustainable Development of the Chorotega Region.

Which areas in Guanacaste have seen the fastest price appreciation in 2025?

Tamarindo continues to lead price appreciation in Guanacaste, maintaining its position as the region's premier tourist and expat destination with sustained demand despite market corrections.

Playa Flamingo has shown remarkable resilience, benefiting from a 20% increase in tourist arrivals over five years and luxury developments that support robust property values. The area's beachfront villas and condos often exceed $300,000 to several million dollars.

Nosara stands out for its limited supply and high demand, particularly in the Playa Guiones area. Strict zoning regulations and eco-conscious development have created scarcity that drives steady appreciation. The wellness and yoga community has established strong demand fundamentals.

The Papagayo Peninsula is emerging as a luxury hotspot, benefiting from new resort developments and strong government infrastructure support. High-end branded projects like the Waldorf-Astoria residences sold out during pre-sale, indicating robust luxury demand.

These coastal areas significantly outpace inland regions due to tourism infrastructure, international accessibility, and lifestyle amenities that attract foreign buyers.

What is the forecast for Guanacaste property prices in 2026 and 2027?

Property price forecasts for Guanacaste indicate moderate but steady appreciation of 3-7% annually for 2026 and 2027, as the market stabilizes after the recent correction.

Year Expected Growth Key Drivers
2025 3-5% Market stabilization, inventory normalization
2026 5-7% Tourism recovery, infrastructure improvements
2027 5-8% Sustained demand, limited new supply
2028-2030 6-8% Long-term tourism growth, expat migration
2030-2035 6-8% Infrastructure maturity, established market

Short-term recovery (2025-2027) is expected to be driven by tourism rebound and infrastructure investments. The Daniel Oduber Quirós International Airport expansion and improved road networks will enhance accessibility and appeal.

Medium-term growth (2028-2035) anticipates sustained 6-8% annual appreciation as Guanacaste benefits from Costa Rica's political stability, environmental appeal, and climate resilience positioning.

Luxury markets are expected to recover fastest, with high-end properties in gated communities and beachfront locations leading the appreciation cycle.

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How do beachfront properties compare to inland properties in terms of price growth?

Beachfront properties in Guanacaste have historically appreciated more rapidly than inland properties, with prices typically 2-3 times higher than comparable inland options.

During the 2020-2023 boom, beachfront properties led the 400% price surge, driven by international buyers seeking ocean access and vacation rental income. Properties with direct beach access in Tamarindo, Flamingo, and Nosara commanded premium pricing and faster appreciation.

However, beachfront properties also experienced greater volatility during the 2024 correction, with some areas seeing 40-50% price declines from peak levels. This volatility reflects their closer ties to tourism cycles and global economic conditions.

Inland properties offer steadier, long-term appreciation with lower entry costs and reduced volatility. Rural and mountain properties attract retirees and digital nomads seeking affordability and tranquility, providing more sustainable demand patterns.

As of 2025, beachfront properties remain the most in-demand segment but inland areas are gaining popularity for their value proposition and stability. The price gap between beachfront and inland has narrowed somewhat due to the recent market correction.

What property types are experiencing the biggest price increases in 2025?

Luxury condos in gated communities are leading price recovery in 2025, benefiting from turnkey convenience, shared amenities, and professional management that appeals to international buyers.

Eco-friendly and sustainable homes are seeing increased demand and price premiums, aligning with Costa Rica's environmental focus and attracting health-conscious buyers. Properties with solar panels, water conservation systems, and sustainable materials command 10-15% price premiums.

New construction properties in established developments continue to attract buyers seeking modern amenities and reliable infrastructure. Gated communities with resolved water and electricity permissions maintain strong pricing power.

Vacation rental properties in prime tourist corridors remain highly sought after, with investors targeting properties that can achieve 7-10% annual rental yields. Short-term rental platforms have made these investments more accessible and profitable.

Single-family homes slightly removed from tourist centers offer the best value proposition, providing more space and privacy while remaining within reasonable distance of beaches and amenities.

How has foreign investment impacted property prices in Guanacaste?

Foreign investors comprise 40% of all real estate transactions in Guanacaste, making them a dominant force in the market and a key driver of price appreciation.

U.S., Canadian, and European buyers have fueled the dramatic price increases, particularly seeking vacation homes, retirement properties, and Airbnb investments. Foreign capital injection has created real estate inflation that significantly affects local affordability.

The influx of international buyers with stronger purchasing power has bid up prices across all property segments, with luxury and beachfront properties seeing the most dramatic impacts. Properties that sold for $100,000 in 2020 now command $400,000-$500,000, largely due to foreign demand.

Foreign investment has also improved property quality and development standards, as international buyers demand modern amenities, reliable infrastructure, and professional property management. This has elevated the overall market but created affordability challenges for local buyers.

Despite recent market corrections, foreign investment continues to provide a price floor, particularly in premium coastal locations where international buyers view current prices as attractive entry points.

Are there signs of a property bubble in Guanacaste as of mid-2025?

As of June 2025, Guanacaste shows no signs of a property bubble, having already undergone a significant market correction that indicates healthy price discovery.

infographics comparison property prices Guanacaste

We made this infographic to show you how property prices in Costa Rica compare to other big cities across the region. It breaks down the average price per square meter in city centers, so you can see how cities stack up. It's an easy way to spot where you might get the best value for your money. We hope you like it.

The 36% price drop in 2024 and inventory increase of 15-24% suggest the market has already self-corrected from speculative excesses. Properties are now selling 40% faster than in 2024, indicating improved market balance.

Current fundamentals support price levels, with tourism growth, infrastructure improvements, and sustained foreign demand providing economic justification for property values. The market has moved from speculation-driven to fundamentals-driven pricing.

Risk factors remain manageable, including continued foreign demand and tourism growth that could reignite upward pressure if supply remains constrained. However, the recent correction has created more sustainable price levels.

Most analysts view the current market as balanced and buyer-friendly, with opportunities for both investors and end-users to enter at more reasonable valuations than the 2023 peak levels.

How do mortgage rates and financing affect Guanacaste property demand?

Recent U.S. interest rate changes in 2025 have impacted financing costs for international buyers, but Guanacaste's market remains resilient due to high cash purchase rates and strong lifestyle demand.

Many foreign buyers purchase properties with cash, reducing sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations. However, higher borrowing costs have slowed some buyer segments, contributing to the recent market correction and inventory increase.

Costa Rican mortgage rates for residents have also increased, affecting local buying power and contributing to the shift toward international buyers who represent a larger market share.

Despite financing challenges, strong lifestyle demand from remote workers, retirees, and vacation home buyers continues to support market fundamentals. These buyers often prioritize lifestyle benefits over financial considerations.

Real estate professionals expect steady appreciation in prime coastal areas as demand from cash buyers and lifestyle-motivated purchasers offsets any slowdown from higher borrowing costs.

What impact has remote work had on Guanacaste property demand since 2020?

Remote work has been a transformative driver of Guanacaste property demand since 2020, catalyzing the region's transition from a quiet coastal area to an international hotspot.

The influx of digital nomads and remote workers seeking tropical work environments drove much of the 400% price increase between 2020-2023. These buyers prioritized reliable internet, modern amenities, and lifestyle benefits over traditional financial metrics.

Towns like Tamarindo, Nosara, and Flamingo have developed robust digital infrastructure to support remote work, including coworking spaces, high-speed internet, and international amenities that sustain long-term demand.

High short-term rental demand from remote workers has maintained vacation property occupancy rates above 75% in peak season, supporting both property values and rental yields for investors.

This demographic shift has created a permanent demand base that supports market resilience, as remote workers often become long-term residents and property owners, providing stability beyond traditional tourism cycles.

It's something we develop in our Costa Rica property pack.

How do Guanacaste property prices compare to other Costa Rican regions in 2025?

Guanacaste remains Costa Rica's most expensive and volatile real estate market, commanding premium prices due to tourism infrastructure and international demand.

Region Avg. Price/m² (Houses) YoY Change Key Characteristics
Guanacaste $1,530 -31% Tourism, luxury, volatile
San José $1,110 +12% Urban, stable, professional
Puntarenas $2,075 +50% Central Pacific, eco-tourism
Limón $971 +19% Most affordable, slower growth
Alajuela $903-$1,598 +8% Mixed residential, moderate

Despite recent corrections, Guanacaste properties still command significant premiums over other regions. The province's international profile, tourism infrastructure, and beach access justify higher valuations.

San José and the Central Valley offer more stable markets with moderate appreciation and strong local demand, appealing to buyers seeking steady growth without volatility.

Puntarenas has emerged as a growth leader with 50% price increases, benefiting from Central Pacific development and eco-tourism growth while remaining more affordable than Guanacaste.

Limón provides the most affordable entry point with steady but modest appreciation, suitable for budget-conscious buyers seeking Costa Rican property exposure.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. GAP Real Estate - Home Selling Trends in Costa Rica Market Update 2025
  2. Global Property Guide - Costa Rica Price History
  3. TheLatinvestor - Housing Market Costa Rica
  4. TheLatinvestor - Real Estate Dropping Costa Rica
  5. Properstar - Costa Rica Guanacaste Province House Price
  6. Nikori Lifestyles - Update Housing Prices in Guanacaste
  7. Brevitas - Guanacaste's Real Estate Boom Top Areas for Property Investment
  8. TheLatinvestor - Guanacaste Costa Rica Property
  9. Tico Times - Guanacaste's Property Surge What It Costs to Live in Costa Rica's Hotspot
  10. Blue Water Properties - Real Estate Trends 2025 Guanacaste Costa Rica