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Property prices in Brasília are expected to continue rising in 2026, with moderate growth driven by population expansion and sustained development.
Several key factors point to continued price increases: the city expects 56,000 new residents in 2026, mortgage rates are forecast to drop from 15% to 12.5%, and government housing incentives are boosting sales by 35%. While apartment prices currently average R$10,000/m² citywide, premium neighborhoods like Asa Norte and Asa Sul command around R$14,800/m².
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Brasília's property market shows strong fundamentals for 2026 growth, with current apartment prices averaging R$10,000/m² and annual increases of 4.7%.
Key drivers include projected population growth of 56,000 residents, declining mortgage rates, and continued government housing initiatives boosting market activity.
| Market Indicator | Current Status (2025) | 2026 Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Average Apartment Price | R$10,000/m² | R$10,500-11,000/m² |
| Population Growth | 4,991,000 residents | +56,000 new residents |
| Mortgage Interest Rate | 15.0-15.5% | ~12.5% |
| Annual Price Growth | +4.7% | +4-6% projected |
| Inflation Rate | ~5.17% | 4.45% projected |
| Sales Volume Change | +35% vs 2024 | Sustained high levels |
What are the current average prices per square meter for apartments and houses in Brasília by neighborhood?
Apartment prices in Brasília currently average R$10,000 per square meter citywide as of September 2025.
The most expensive neighborhoods are Asa Norte at approximately R$14,800/m² and Asa Sul at R$14,700/m². Noroeste follows at around R$11,800/m². These premium areas command the highest prices due to their central location and established infrastructure.
More affordable neighborhoods like Águas Claras and Guará offer apartments in the R$7,000 to R$9,000/m² range. The central city average for all property types falls between R$8,500 and R$10,000/m². Luxury areas can reach R$15,000 to R$18,000/m² for high-end properties.
Houses generally follow similar neighborhood patterns but vary significantly based on size and lot specifications. The overall residential market spans R$8,000 to R$12,000/m² across all neighborhoods.
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How much did average prices per square meter change in each neighborhood over the past 12 months?
Brasília's real estate market experienced a 4.7% overall annual growth rate from 2024 to 2025.
Premium and well-located areas saw the strongest price increases, with neighborhoods like Asa Norte and Asa Sul posting gains closer to 5%. These central areas benefited from sustained demand and limited supply of quality properties.
Peripheral and less central neighborhoods typically experienced more modest increases in the 3% to 4% range. Areas like Águas Claras and Guará saw steady but slower appreciation compared to the city center.
The variation reflects Brasília's market dynamics where established, well-connected neighborhoods continue to outperform emerging areas. Government infrastructure investments and urban development projects have particularly benefited central districts.
What is the projected population growth for Brasília in 2026 compared to 2025?
Brasília's metropolitan area population is projected to grow by approximately 56,000 residents in 2026.
The current population stands at 4,991,000 as of 2025, with an annual growth rate of 1.13%. This growth rate translates to an expected population of approximately 5,047,000 by the end of 2026.
This population increase represents sustained demographic pressure on the housing market. With 56,000 new residents requiring accommodation, demand for both rental and purchase properties will continue growing throughout 2026.
The growth is driven by Brasília's role as the federal capital, continued government job creation, and the city's economic stability compared to other Brazilian metropolitan areas.
How many new housing units are expected to be delivered in Brasília in 2026 compared to previous years?
New housing deliveries in Brasília are expected to remain at elevated levels in 2026, following the strong momentum from 2025.
Brazil's national target includes up to 2,000,000 units for 2026, with government incentives and programs specifically supporting residential development. Brasília has seen residential unit sales increase by 35% in 2025 compared to 2024, indicating robust construction activity.
Government housing programs and continued urban expansion are sustaining high delivery volumes. The combination of federal initiatives and private development projects maintains strong construction pipeline into 2026.
While specific Brasília delivery numbers aren't available, the city's sustained sales growth and government support suggest continued high levels of new unit completions throughout 2026.
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What are the current average monthly rents for apartments and houses in Brasília and how much did they change over the past year?
Apartment rents in Brasília range from R$2,500 to R$4,500 per month for standard 2-bedroom units, with central areas commanding higher prices.
House rents show a different pattern, with the median monthly rent at R$9,213 as of July 2025. However, house rents experienced a notable decrease of 12.9% over the previous 12 months.
Apartment rental prices remained mostly stable or showed slight increases throughout 2025. The contrast between apartment and house rent trends reflects different market dynamics, with apartments maintaining stronger demand while house rental supply may have increased.
Central areas command premium rents due to proximity to government offices and business districts. The rental market reflects Brasília's unique character as a planned capital city with distinct residential zones.
How many property sales occurred in Brasília in the last 12 months and what was the median selling price?
Property sales volume in Brasília increased significantly by 35% from 2024 to 2025, indicating a very active market.
The median selling price for apartments ranges from R$8,500 to R$10,000 per square meter, varying by size and location. This surge in sales activity reflects both government incentives and favorable market conditions for buyers and developers.
The 35% increase in residential unit sales demonstrates strong market momentum driven by government housing programs and urban development initiatives. This high sales volume indicates healthy market liquidity and buyer confidence.
Government incentives have particularly boosted first-time buyer activity and new development sales. The combination of policy support and market fundamentals has created an exceptionally active sales environment.
What is the current average household income in Brasília and how has it evolved over the past five years?
The average monthly salary in Brasília stands at R$3,294 as of 2025.
Household income has shown steady improvement with approximately 4.7% year-over-year growth in 2025. This represents a gradual recovery trajectory following the economic contraction experienced during the 2020 pandemic period.
The income growth trend over the past five years shows resilience, with Brasília's economy benefiting from its role as the federal capital. Government employment provides stability that other Brazilian cities may lack.
This income level supports the current property price levels, though the relationship between average income and property prices suggests affordability challenges for median earners without additional financial resources.
What is the current mortgage interest rate in Brazil and what are analysts' forecasts for 2026?
Current mortgage interest rates in Brazil range from 15.0% to 15.5% as of 2025, reflecting the country's elevated monetary policy stance.
Analysts forecast a significant reduction to approximately 12.5% by the end of 2026, contingent on inflation stabilization. This represents a meaningful improvement in borrowing costs for potential property buyers.
The projected rate decline is based on expectations that Brazil's central bank will reduce the Selic rate as inflation pressures ease. Current inflation running around 5.17% is expected to moderate to 4.45% in 2026.
Lower mortgage rates in 2026 would substantially improve affordability and likely boost demand for financed property purchases. This represents a key positive factor for the Brasília real estate market.
It's something we develop in our Brazil property pack.
We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Brazil versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.
How much is the current average property tax per year for a standard apartment and house in Brasília?
Annual property tax (IPTU) for a standard apartment in central Brasília ranges from R$800 to R$1,200 for units between 70 and 90 square meters.
Standard houses face higher property tax bills, typically ranging from R$1,500 to R$2,500 annually. The variation depends on location, property size, and assessed value.
Property taxes in Brasília remain relatively moderate compared to property values. For a R$700,000 apartment, annual taxes of R$1,000 represent approximately 0.14% of property value.
Tax rates can vary by specific neighborhood within Brasília, but detailed neighborhood-by-neighborhood breakdowns are not readily available. Property owners should verify exact rates with local authorities during purchase decisions.
What is the historical annual inflation rate in Brazil over the past five years and what is the projected rate for 2026?
| Year | Inflation Rate (IPCA) | Impact on Real Estate |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 10.06% | High inflation period |
| 2022 | 5.79% | Moderating inflation |
| 2023 | 4.83% | Stable inflation environment |
| 2024 | 5.10% | Slight uptick in prices |
| 2025 | ~5.17% | Continued moderate inflation |
| 2026 (projected) | 4.45% | Expected moderation |
How many square meters of new commercial developments are planned for 2026 and how might this impact residential demand?
Brazil's national development target includes up to 500,000 subsidized units for 2026, incorporating both residential and commercial developments.
Specific square meter forecasts for Brasília commercial developments are not available, but planned urban expansion and government infrastructure projects will create upward pressure on residential demand. New commercial areas typically generate employment and housing needs in surrounding areas.
Government infrastructure investments and urban development projects are expected to particularly benefit newly developed areas. Commercial development often precedes or accompanies residential demand growth.
The relationship between commercial and residential development in Brasília follows the city's planned development model, where new commercial zones create demand for nearby housing options.
What percentage of properties in Brasília are currently on the market compared to the total housing stock?
Approximately 3% to 4% of all residential properties in Brasília are currently listed for sale or rent at any given time as of 2025.
This percentage aligns with typical urban market averages globally and indicates a balanced market with reasonable liquidity. The premium and luxury segments typically maintain higher liquidity rates due to more active investor participation.
The current inventory levels suggest neither oversupply nor severe shortage conditions. Market activity has increased significantly with 35% higher sales volume, indicating healthy absorption of available properties.
This inventory percentage supports the continued price appreciation trends, as limited supply relative to growing demand maintains upward pressure on property values.
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Conclusion
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.
Property prices in Brasília are positioned for continued growth in 2026, supported by strong fundamentals including population expansion, government incentives, and improving mortgage conditions.
The combination of 56,000 new residents, declining interest rates, and sustained development activity creates a favorable environment for property value appreciation throughout 2026.
Sources
- The LatinVestor - Brasília Market Data
- The LatinVestor - Brasília Average Apartment Prices
- Emplavi - Square Meter Pricing in Brasília
- The LatinVestor - Average House Price in Brazil
- The LatinVestor - Brasília Property
- Global Property Guide - Brazil Price History
- World Population Review - Brasília
- MacroTrends - Brasília Population
- Mordor Intelligence - Brazil Residential Real Estate Market
- The LatinVestor - Brasília Real Estate Market